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How does social security affect economic growth? Evidence from cross-country data

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Author Info
Jie Zhang ()
Junsen Zhang ()

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Abstract

This paper investigates how social security interacts with growth and growth determinants (savings, human capital investment, and fertility). Our empirical investigation finds that the estimated coefficient on social security is significantly negative in the fertility equation, insignificant in the saving equation, and significantly positive in the growth and education equations. By contrast, the estimated coefficient on growth is insignificant in the social security equation. The results suggest that social security may indeed be conducive to growth through tipping the trade-off between the number and quality of children toward the latter. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2004

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s00148-004-0198-x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Population Economics.

Volume (Year): 17 (2004)
Issue (Month): 3 (08)
Pages: 473-500
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Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:17:y:2004:i:3:p:473-500

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Related research
Keywords: H55; J13; O41; Social security; growth; fertility; human capital; saving;

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  1. Tatsuya Omori, 2009. "Effects of public education and social security on fertility," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 585-601, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Frédéric Docquier & Oliver Paddison & Pierre Pestieau, 2006. "Optimal Accumulation in an Endogenous Growth Setting with Human Capital," IZA Discussion Papers 2081, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Yuhua Shi & Jie Zhang, 2009. "On high fertility rates in developing countries: birth limits, birth taxes, or education subsidies?," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 603-640, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Zeng, J & Jie Zhang, . "Optimal social security in a dynastic model with investment externalities and endogenous fertility," MRG Discussion Paper Series 1006, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Chien-Chiang Lee & Chun-Ping Chang, 2006. "Social security expenditure and GDP in OECD countries: A cointegrated panel analysis," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 20(3), pages 303-320, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Torberg Falch & Justina A.V. Fischer, 2008. "Does a Generous Welfare State Crowd out Student Achievement? Panel Data Evidence from International Student Tests," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Isaac Ehrlich & Jinyoung Kim, 2005. "Social Security, Demographic Trends, and Economic Growth: Theory and Evidence from the International Experience," NBER Working Papers 11121, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. DOCQUIER, FrŽdŽric & PADDISON, Oliver & ,, 2000. "Growth and equality effects of pension plans," CORE Discussion Papers 2000036, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE). [Downloadable!]
  9. Cruz A. Echevarria & Amaia Iza, 2005. "Life Expectancy, Human Capital, Social Security and Growth," DFAEII Working Papers 200517, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, revised 16 Nov 2006. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Alessandro Cigno, 2009. "How to Avoid a Pension Crisis: A Question of Intelligent System Design," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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