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Modeling household fertility decisions with generalized Poisson regression

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Author Info
Weiren Wang () (Department of Economics, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40506-0034, USA)
Felix Famoye (Department of Mathematics, Central Michigan University, Mt. Pleasant, MI 48859, USA)
Abstract

This paper models household fertility decisions by using a generalized Poisson regression model. Since the fertility data used in the paper exhibit under-dispersion, the generalized Poisson regression model has statistical advantages over both standard Poisson and negative binomial regression models, and is suitable for analysis of count data that exhibit either over-dispersion or under-dispersion. The model is estimated by the method of maximum likelihood. Approximate tests for the dispersion and goodness-of-fit measures for comparing alternative models are discussed. Based on observations from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics of 1989 interviewing year, the empirical results support the fertility hypothesis of Becker and Lewis (1973).

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Population Economics.

Volume (Year): 10 (1997)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 273-283
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Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:10:y:1997:i:3:p:273-283

Note: Received January 7, 1997 /Accepted April 3, 1997
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Related research
Keywords: Fertility decision · generalized Poisson model · dispersion · goodness-of-fit;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models
J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth

Cited by:
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  1. Lawrence Kazembe, 2009. "Modelling individual fertility levels in Malawian women: a spatial semiparametric regression model," Statistical Methods and Applications, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 237-255, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Laura E Hill & Hans P Johnson, 2002. "The Relationship of Personal and Neighborhood Characteristics to Immigrant Fertility," Working Papers 02-20, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau. [Downloadable!]
  3. Klasen, Stephan & Launov, Andrey, 2003. "Analysis of the Determinants of Fertility Decline in the Czech Republic," IZA Discussion Papers 870, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. George Hondroyiannis, 2009. "Fertility Determinants and Economic Uncertainty:An Assessment Using European Panel Data," Working Papers 96, Bank of Greece. [Downloadable!]
  5. William Greene, 2007. "Functional Form and Heterogeneity in Models for Count Data," Working Papers 07-10, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. Alfonso Miranda, 2004. "FIML estimation of an endogenous switching model for count data," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 4(1), pages 40-49, March. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Alison L. Booth & Hiau Joo Kee, 2006. "Intergenerational Transmission of Fertility Patterns in Britain," IZA Discussion Papers 2437, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  8. Christian Dudel, 2009. "The Demographic Dilemma: Fertility, Female Labor Force Participation and Future Growth in Germany 2007-2060," SOEPpapers 158, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). [Downloadable!]
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