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Asset price volatility and trading volume with rational beliefs

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Author Info
Ho-Mou Wu ()
Wen-Chung Guo
Abstract

This paper develops a model of speculative trading in a large economy with a continuum of investors. In our model the investors are assumed to have diverse beliefs which are rational in the sense of being compatible with observed data. We demonstrate the existence of price amplification effects and show that the equilibrium prices can be higher or lower than the rational expectation equilibrium price. It is also shown that trading volume is positively related to the directions of price changes. Moreover, we study how asset price volatility and trading volume are influenced by belief structures, short selling constraints and the amount of fund available for investment. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin/Heidelberg 2004

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s00199-003-0397-9
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Economic Theory.

Volume (Year): 23 (2004)
Issue (Month): 4 (May)
Pages: 795-829
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Handle: RePEc:spr:joecth:v:23:y:2004:i:4:p:795-829

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Related research
Keywords: Price volatility; Trading volume; Speculation; Rational beliefs.;

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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
  1. A. A. Brown & L. C. G. Rogers, 2009. "Heterogeneous Beliefs with Finite-Lived Agents," Quantitative Finance Papers 0907.4953, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
  2. Carsten Nielsen, 2009. "Non-stationary, stable Markov processes on a continuous state space," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 40(3), pages 473-496, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Pierre Monnin, . "Are stock markets really like beauty contests? Empirical evidence of higher order belief's impact on asset prices," IEW - Working Papers iewwp202, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW. [Downloadable!]
  4. Mordecai Kurz & Hehui Jin & Maurizio Motolese, 2005. "Determinants of stock market volatility and risk premia," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 109-147, 07. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Graciela Chichilnisky & Ho-Mou Wu, 2006. "General equilibrium with endogenous uncertainty and default," Discussion Papers 0506-29, Columbia University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. A. A. Brown, 2009. "Heterogeneous Beliefs with Partial Observations," Quantitative Finance Papers 0907.4950, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
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