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Analyzing Fed behavior using a dynamic Taylor-type rule

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  • William Seyfried
  • Dale Bremmer

Abstract

This paper estimates a dynamic Taylor-type model in order to analyze the behavior of the Federal Reserve under the leadership of three different Fed chairs: Arthur Burns, Paul Volcker, and Alan Greenspan. The model proves useful in distinguishing the conduct of monetary policy under each. Burns is found to have paid little attention to inflation and inflationary pressures. Volcker focused on reducing actual inflation during his first term while turning his attention to the GDP gap and inflationary pressures in his second term. Greenspan emphasized preemptive strikes against inflation as indicated by high weights attributed to the GDP gap and expected inflation. Copyright 0213 0244 V 2 2001

Suggested Citation

  • William Seyfried & Dale Bremmer, 2001. "Analyzing Fed behavior using a dynamic Taylor-type rule," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 25(1), pages 23-32, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:25:y:2001:i:1:p:23-32
    DOI: 10.1007/BF02759684
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. William Poole, 1999. "Monetary policy rules?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Mar, pages 3-12.
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    5. John B. Taylor, 1999. "Monetary Policy Rules," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number tayl99-1, March.
    6. Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1977. "Rules Rather Than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(3), pages 473-491, June.
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