Stock market prices and long-range dependence
AbstractUsing the CRSP (Center for Research in Security Prices) daily stock return data, we revisit the question of whether or not actual stock market prices exhibit long-range dependence. Our study is based on an empirical investigation reported in Teverovsky, Taqqu and Willinger  of the modified rescaled adjusted range or R/S statistic that was proposed by Lo  as a test for long-range dependence with good robustness properties under "extra" short-range dependence. Our main conclusion is that because the modified R/S statistic shows a strong preference for accepting the null hypothesis of no long-range dependence, irrespective of whether long-range dependence is present in the data or not, Lo's acceptance of the hypothesis for the CRSP data (i.e., no long-range dependence in stock market prices) is less conclusive than is usually regarded in the econometrics literature. In fact, upon further analysis of the data, we find empirical evidence of long-range dependence in stock price returns, but because the corresponding degree of long-range dependence (measured via the Hurst parameter H) is typically very low (i.e., H-values around 0.60), the evidence is not absolutely conclusive.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Springer in its journal Finance and Stochastics.
Volume (Year): 3 (1999)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Note: received: May 1997; final version received: September 1997
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/content/101164/
Other versions of this item:
- Tom Doan, . "RATS programs to replicate Willinger, Taqqu, Teverovsky(1999)," Statistical Software Components RTZ00167, Boston College Department of Economics.
- C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
- C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
You can help add them by filling out this form.
CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
- Raul Matsushita & Andre Santos & Iram Gleria & Annibal Figueiredo & Sergio Da Silva, 2005. "Are Pound and Euro the Same Currency?," International Finance 0505002, EconWPA.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Guenther Eichhorn) or (Christopher F Baum).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.