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Modeling Amazon deforestation for policy purposes: reconciling conservation priorities and human development

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  • Lykke Andersen
  • Clive Granger

Abstract

Brazil has long ago removed most of the perverse government incentives that stimulated massive deforestation in the Amazon in the 1970s and 1980s, but the highly controversial policy concerning road building still remains. While data is now abundantly available due to the constant satellite surveillance of the Amazon, the analytical methods typically used to analyze the impact of roads on natural vegetation cover are methodologically weak and not very helpful in guiding public policy. This article discusses the respective weaknesses of typical geographic information system (GIS) analysis and typical municipality-level regression analysis, and shows what would be needed to construct an ideal model of deforestation processes. It also presents an alternative approach that is much less demanding in terms of modeling and estimation and is more useful for policymakers. Copyright Springer Japan 2007

Suggested Citation

  • Lykke Andersen & Clive Granger, 2007. "Modeling Amazon deforestation for policy purposes: reconciling conservation priorities and human development," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 8(3), pages 201-210, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:envpol:v:8:y:2007:i:3:p:201-210
    DOI: 10.1007/BF03353957
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lykke E. Andersen & Juan Carlos Ledezma & Martin Vargas, 2006. "Un Mosaico de Conservación, Desarrollo Humano y Tensiones en el Corredor Amboró-Madidi," Development Research Working Paper Series 04/2006, Institute for Advanced Development Studies.
    2. Andersen,Lykke E. & Granger,Clive W. J. & Reis,Eustaquio J. & Weinhold,Diana & Wunder,Sven, 2002. "The Dynamics of Deforestation and Economic Growth in the Brazilian Amazon," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521811972.
    3. Lykke E. Andersen, 2006. "El Impacto de los Cambios en el Uso de Tierra en el Departamento de Santa Cruz," Development Research Working Paper Series 11/2006, Institute for Advanced Development Studies.
    4. João S. Campari, 2005. "The Economics of Deforestation in the Amazon," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 3465.
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    Cited by:

    1. Galarza, Francisco & Kámiche Zegarra, Joanna & Gómez de Zea, Rosario, 2023. "Roads and deforestation: do local institutions matter?," Working Papers 23-03, Centro de Investigación, Universidad del Pacífico.
    2. Michaël Aklin & Patrick Bayer & S. Harish & Johannes Urpelainen, 2014. "Who blames corruption for the poor enforcement of environmental laws? Survey evidence from Brazil," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 16(3), pages 241-262, July.

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