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Persistence of travel and leisure sector equity indices

Author

Listed:
  • Jorge M. L. Andraz

    (Universidade do Algarve and CEFAGE-Ualg)

  • Raúl F. C. Guerreiro

    (Universidade do Algarve and CEFAGE-Ualg)

  • Paulo M. M. Rodrigues

    (Universidade Nova de Lisboa)

Abstract

Volatility persistence of travel and leisure sector equity indices and of some of its components is analyzed, and tests of whether persistence has changed over time are performed. Given the typical leading indicator behavior of financial variables, understanding and characterizing the properties of these indices may help shed light on the behavior of the tourism sector and of its resilience to crises. For the purpose of analysis, our sample is split into three subsamples according to the World tourism cycle: (i) from January 1996 to December 2002; (ii) from January 2003 to August 2007; and (iii) from September 2007 to July 2014. Results suggest the existence of long-memory dynamics driving series volatility, and that shocks to volatility tend to be more persistent during periods of turmoil and affect regions differently.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge M. L. Andraz & Raúl F. C. Guerreiro & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2018. "Persistence of travel and leisure sector equity indices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1801-1825, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:54:y:2018:i:4:d:10.1007_s00181-017-1276-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-017-1276-8
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    Cited by:

    1. Luis A Gil-Alana & James E Payne, 2022. "Persistence, seasonality, and fractional integration within a nonlinear framework: Evidence from US citizens’ overseas travel," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(3), pages 654-660, May.
    2. James E Payne & Junsoo Lee, 2024. "Global perspective on the permanent or transitory nature of shocks to tourist arrivals: Evidence from new unit root tests with structural breaks and factors," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(1), pages 67-103, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Long memory; Persistence breaks; Crises; Tourism;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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