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Postwar slowdowns and long-run growth: a Bayesian analysis of structural break models

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  • Yi-Chi Chen

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  • Eric Zivot
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s00181-009-0333-3
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Springer in its journal Empirical Economics.

    Volume (Year): 39 (2010)
    Issue (Month): 3 (December)
    Pages: 897-921

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    Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:39:y:2010:i:3:p:897-921

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    Related research

    Keywords: Trend breaks; Growth; Gibbs sampler; Multiple structural breaks; C11; E32;

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    References

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    1. Dan Ben-David & David H. Papell, 1997. "Slowdowns and Meltdowns: Postwar Growth Evidence from 74 Countries," NBER Working Papers 6266, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Perron, P. & Bai, J., 1995. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Cahiers de recherche 9552, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    3. Paul M Romer, 1999. "Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth," Levine's Working Paper Archive 2232, David K. Levine.
    4. Christian J. Murray & Charles Nelson, 2000. "The Great Depression and Output Persistence," Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington 0010, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
    5. Chris Murray & Charles Nelson, 1998. "The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP," Working Papers 0074, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
    6. Siddhartha Chib & Edward Greenberg, 1994. "Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation Methods in Econometrics," Econometrics 9408001, EconWPA, revised 24 Oct 1994.
    7. McCulloch, Robert & Rossi, Peter E., 1994. "An exact likelihood analysis of the multinomial probit model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1-2), pages 207-240.
    8. BAI, Jushan & PERRON, Pierre, 1998. "Computation and Analysis of Multiple Structural-Change Models," Cahiers de recherche 9807, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    9. Kim, Chang-Jin & Nelson, Charles R & Piger, Jeremy, 2004. "The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 22(1), pages 80-93, January.
    10. Ben-David, Dan & Papell, David H, 2000. "Some Evidence on the Continuity of the Growth Process among the G-7 Countries," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 38(2), pages 320-30, April.
    11. Ben-David, Dan & Papell, David H., 1995. "The great wars, the great crash, and steady state growth: Some new evidence about an old stylized fact," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 453-475, December.
    12. Ben-David, D. & Lumsdaine, L.R. & Papell, D.H., 1996. "Unit Roots Postwar Slowdowns and Long-Run Growth: Evidence from Two Structural Breaks," Papers 33-96, Tel Aviv.
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    Cited by:
    1. Yi-Chi Chen & Wei-Choun Yu, 2011. "Structural change in the forward discount: a Bayesian analysis of forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(2), pages 1807-1826.

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