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Economic theory and econometric dynamics in modelling wages and prices in the United Kingdom

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  • Paul G. Fisher

    (Bank of England)

  • Gunnar BÅrdsen

    ()
    (Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology Dragvoll, N-7491 Trondheim, Norway)

Abstract

We show that a "competing claims" model of imperfect competition can explain the movements of wages and prices in the United Kingdom, using quarterly data covering 1976-93. We argue that careful attention both to economic theory and to the interaction between dynamics and identification is crucial in the building of the model and to dynamic econometric models in general. We use a small numerical example with simulated cointegrated data to illustrate the potential pitfalls.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Springer in its journal Empirical Economics.

Volume (Year): 24 (1999)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 483-507

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Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:24:y:1999:i:3:p:483-507

Note: received: January 1998/final version received: November 1998
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Related research

Keywords: Dynamic econometric models · steady state · cointegration · equilibrium correction · wages · prices;

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Cited by:
  1. Duarte, Rita & Marques, Carlos Robalo, 2009. "The dynamic effects of shocks to wages and prices in the United States and the euro area," Working Paper Series 1067, European Central Bank.
  2. Gunnar B�rdsen & Ragnar Nymoen, 2003. "Testing Steady-State Implications for the NAIRU," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(4), pages 1070-1075, November.
  3. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2004. "Long Memory At The Long Run And At The Cyclical Frequencies: Modelling Real Wages In England, 1260 -1994," Public Policy Discussion Papers 04-21, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
  4. Bjørnar Karlsen Kivedal, 2013. "A New Keynesian Framework and Wage and Price Dynamics in the US," Working Paper Series 15113, Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology.
  5. Gunnar Bardsen & Eilev S. Jansen & Ragnar Nymoen, 2003. "Econometric inflation targeting," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 6(2), pages 430-461, December.
  6. Jansen, Eilev S., 2004. "Modelling inflation in the euro area," Working Paper Series 0322, European Central Bank.
  7. Akram, Q. Farooq & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2006. "Econometric modelling of slack and tight labour markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 579-596, July.
  8. Akram,Q.F. & Nymoen,R., 2001. "Employment behaviour in slack and tight labour markets," Memorandum 27/2001, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
  9. Gunnar Bårdsen & Eilev S. Jansen & Ragnar Nymoen, 2002. "The Empirical (ir)Relevance of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Working Paper Series 2102, Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology.
  10. Gil-Alana, L.A., 2005. "A re-examination of historical real daily wages in England: 1260-1994," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 27(7), pages 829-838, October.

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