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Enhancing the relevance of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability research

Author

Listed:
  • Bas Ruijven
  • Marc Levy
  • Arun Agrawal
  • Frank Biermann
  • Joern Birkmann
  • Timothy Carter
  • Kristie Ebi
  • Matthias Garschagen
  • Bryan Jones
  • Roger Jones
  • Eric Kemp-Benedict
  • Marcel Kok
  • Kasper Kok
  • Maria Lemos
  • Paul Lucas
  • Ben Orlove
  • Shonali Pachauri
  • Tom Parris
  • Anand Patwardhan
  • Arthur Petersen
  • Benjamin Preston
  • Jesse Ribot
  • Dale Rothman
  • Vanessa Schweizer

Abstract

This paper discusses the role and relevance of the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) and the new scenarios that combine SSPs with representative concentration pathways (RCPs) for climate change impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability (IAV) research. It first provides an overview of uses of social–environmental scenarios in IAV studies and identifies the main shortcomings of earlier such scenarios. Second, the paper elaborates on two aspects of the SSPs and new scenarios that would improve their usefulness for IAV studies compared to earlier scenario sets: (i) enhancing their applicability while retaining coherence across spatial scales, and (ii) adding indicators of importance for projecting vulnerability. The paper therefore presents an agenda for future research, recommending that SSPs incorporate not only the standard variables of population and gross domestic product, but also indicators such as income distribution, spatial population, human health and governance. Copyright The Author(s) 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Bas Ruijven & Marc Levy & Arun Agrawal & Frank Biermann & Joern Birkmann & Timothy Carter & Kristie Ebi & Matthias Garschagen & Bryan Jones & Roger Jones & Eric Kemp-Benedict & Marcel Kok & Kasper Kok, 2014. "Enhancing the relevance of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability research," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 122(3), pages 481-494, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:122:y:2014:i:3:p:481-494
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0931-0
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    4. Giovanni Matteo & Pierfrancesco Nardi & Stefano Grego & Caterina Guidi, 2018. "Bibliometric analysis of Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment research," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 38(4), pages 508-516, December.
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    6. McManamay, Ryan A. & DeRolph, Christopher R. & Surendran-Nair, Sujithkumar & Allen-Dumas, Melissa, 2019. "Spatially explicit land-energy-water future scenarios for cities: Guiding infrastructure transitions for urban sustainability," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 880-900.
    7. Cust,James Frederick & Rivera Ballesteros,Alexis & Zeufack,Albert G., 2022. "The Dog that Didn’t Bark : The Missed Opportunity of Africa’s Resource Boom," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10120, The World Bank.
    8. Daigneault, Adam & Johnston, Craig & Korosuo, Anu & Baker, Justin S. & Forsell, Nicklas & Prestemon, Jeffrey P. & Abt, Robert C., 2019. "Developing Detailed Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) Narratives for the Global Forest Sector," Journal of Forest Economics, now publishers, vol. 34(1-2), pages 7-45, August.
    9. Ren, Chongqiang & Zhai, Guofang & Zhou, Shutian & Li, Shasha & Chen, Wei, 2017. "Adaptation assessment and analysis of economic growth since the market reform in China," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-24, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    10. O'Neill, Brian, 2016. "The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their extension and use in impact, adaptation and vulnerability studies," Conference papers 332808, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    11. van Ruijven, Bas J. & O’Neill, Brian C. & Chateau, Jean, 2015. "Methods for including income distribution in global CGE models for long-term climate change research," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 530-543.
    12. Phetheet, Jirapat & Hill, Mary C. & Barron, Robert W. & Gray, Benjamin J. & Wu, Hongyu & Amanor-Boadu, Vincent & Heger, Wade & Kisekka, Isaya & Golden, Bill & Rossi, Matthew W., 2021. "Relating agriculture, energy, and water decisions to farm incomes and climate projections using two freeware programs, FEWCalc and DSSAT," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    13. Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Wolfgang Fengler & Homi Kharas & Karim Bekhtiar & Michael Brottrager & Martin Hofer, 2018. "Will the Sustainable Development Goals be fulfilled? Assessing present and future global poverty," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 4(1), pages 1-8, December.
    14. Lili Sun & Huijuan Cui & Quansheng Ge, 2021. "Driving Factors and Future Prediction of Carbon Emissions in the ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-21, September.
    15. Lu Peng & Zhihui Li, 2021. "Ensemble Flood Risk Assessment in the Yangtze River Economic Belt under CMIP6 SSP-RCP Scenarios," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-17, November.
    16. Samuel Sellers & Kristie L. Ebi, 2017. "Climate Change and Health under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Framework," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-18, December.
    17. Absar, Syeda Mariya & McManamay, Ryan A. & Preston, Benjamin L. & Taylor, Adam M., 2021. "Bridging global socioeconomic scenarios with policy adaptations to examine energy-water tradeoffs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    18. Dennis Becker & Felix J. Othmer & Stefan Greiving, 2022. "Climate Impact Assessment for Sustainable Structural Change in the Rhenish Lignite Mining Region," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-18, June.
    19. Miho Kamei & Alessio Mastrucci & Bas J. van Ruijven, 2021. "A Future Outlook of Narratives for the Built Environment in Japan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-20, February.
    20. Gillian Foster, 2019. "Low-Carbon Futures for Bioethylene in the United States," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-20, May.

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