Are Real GDP Levels Trend, Difference, or Regime-Wise Trend Stationary? Evidence from Panel Data Tets Incorporating Structural Change
AbstractThe unit root hypothesis for international real GDP and real GDP per capita has been the subject of extensive investigation. Using panel methods that incorporate structural change, we reject the unit root null in favor of the alternative of trend stationarity, with one or two changes in the slope for two panels with postwar data and one or two changes in both the slope and the intercept for a panel with long-horizon data. We conclude that real GDP levels are better characterized as regime-wise trend stationary than as either trend stationary without structural change or difference stationary with unit roots.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Southern Economic Association in its journal Southern Economic Journal.
Volume (Year): 74 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 (July)
Other versions of this item:
- Natalie Hegwood & David H. Papell, 2006. "Are Real GDP Levels Trend, Difference, or Regime-Wise Trend Stationary? Evidence from Panel Data Tests Incorporating Structural Change," Working Papers 0601, Sam Houston State University, Department of Economics and International Business.
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
- E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General
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- Nektarios Aslanidis & Stilianos Fountas, 2012.
"Is real GDP stationary? Evidence from a panel unit root test with cross-sectional dependence and historical data,"
Discussion Paper Series
2012_09, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Oct 2012.
- Nektarios Aslanidis & Stilianos Fountas, 2014. "Is real GDP stationary? Evidence from a panel unit root test with cross-sectional dependence and historical data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 101-108, February.
- Aslanidis, Nektarios & Fountas, Stilianos, 2012. "Is real GDP stationary? Evidence from a panel unit root test with cross-sectional dependence and historical data," Working Papers 2072/181404, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
- Lopez, C. & Papell, David H., 2011.
"Convergence of Euro Area Inflation Rates,"
326, Banque de France.
- Lopez, Claude & Papell, David, 2010. "Testing for Group-Wise Convergence with an Application to Euro Area Inflation," MPRA Paper 20585, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lopez, Claude & Papell, David, 2010. "Are euro area inflation rates misaligned?," MPRA Paper 27929, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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