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Persistence in International Inflation Rates Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Christopher F. Baum
John T. Barkoulas
Mustafa Caglayan
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We test for fractional dynamics in inflation rates based on the consumer price index (CPI) for 27 countries and inflation rates based on the wholesale price index (WPI) for 22 countries. The fractional differencing parameter is estimated using semiparametric and approximate maximum likelihood methods. Significant evidence of fractional dynamics with long-memory features is found in both CPI- and WPI-based inflation rates for industrial as well as developing countries. Implications of the findings are considered, and sources of long memory are hypothesized.
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Article provided by Southern Economic Association in its journal Southern Economic Journal .
Volume (Year): 65 (1999)
Issue (Month): 4 (April)
Pages: 900-913
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Handle: RePEc:sej:ancoec:v:65:4:y:1999:p:900-913Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.southerneconomic.org/ More information through EDIRC
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References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Cheung, Yin-Wong & Diebold, Francis X., 1994.
"On maximum likelihood estimation of the differencing parameter of fractionally-integrated noise with unknown mean ,"
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[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Brunner, Allan D & Hess, Gregory D, 1993.
"Are Higher Levels of Inflation Less Predictable? A State-Dependent Conditional Heteroscedasticity Approach ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
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Other versions: Matthew B. Canzoneri & Robert E. Cumby & Behzad Diba, 1996.
"Relative Labor Productivity and the Real Exchange Rate in the Long Run: Evidence for a Panel of OECD Countries ,"
NBER Working Papers
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Other versions:
Canzoneri, Matthew B & Cumby, Robert & Diba, Behzad, 1996.
"Relative Labour Productivity and the Real Exchange Rate in the Long Run: Evidence for a Panel of OECD Countries ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
1464, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Canzoneri, Matthew B. & Cumby, Robert E. & Diba, Behzad, 1999.
"Relative labor productivity and the real exchange rate in the long run: evidence for a panel of OECD countries ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 245-266, April.
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Sel Dibooglu & Aykut Kibritcioglu, 2003.
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Macroeconomics
0306001, EconWPA.
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Other versions:
Dibooglu, Sel & Kibritcioglu, Aykut, 2004.
"Inflation, output growth, and stabilization in Turkey, 1980-2002 ,"
Journal of Economics and Business ,
Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 43-61.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Abhijit Sen Gupta, 2007.
"Does Capital Account Openness Lower Inflation? ,"
Working Papers
id:843, esocialsciences.com.
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Abhijit Sen Gupta, 2007.
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International Economic Journal ,
Korean International Economic Association, vol. 22(4), pages 471-487.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) John Barkoulas & Christopher F. Baum & Mustafa Caglayan, 1998.
"Fractional Monetary Dynamics ,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
321., Boston College Department of Economics.
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Other versions: Ümit Özlale & Kivilcim Metin Ozcan, 2005.
"Does Time Inconsistency Problem Apply For Turkish Monetary Policy? ,"
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2005/2, Turkish Economic Association.
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"Monetary Policy Design under Competing Models of Inflation Persistence ,"
Working Papers Series
137, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
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Vuslat Us & Kývýlcým Metin Ozcan, 2003.
"Optimal Univariate Expectations under High and Persistent Inflation : New Evidence From Turkey ,"
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Claudio Morana, 2004.
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29-2004, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research.
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Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo, 2008.
"Long Memory and Non-Linearities in International Inflation ,"
"Marco Fanno" Working Papers
0076, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
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Barbara Meller & Dieter Nautz, 2009.
"The Impact of the European Monetary Union on Inflation Persistence in the Euro Area ,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
SFB649DP2009-037, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
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Claudio Morana, 2005.
"The Japanese deflation: has it had real effects? Could it have been avoided? ,"
Applied Economics ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(12), pages 1337-1352, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Basma Bekdache & Christopher F. Baum, 2000.
"A re-evaluation of empirical tests of the Fisher hypothesis ,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
472, Boston College Department of Economics.
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Other versions: Gadea, Maria & Mayoral, Laura, 2005.
"The Persistence of Inflation in OECD Countries: A Fractionally Integrated Approach ,"
MPRA Paper
815, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Other versions:
Laura Mayoral, 2005.
"The Persistence of Inflation in OECDCountries: a Fractionally Integrated Approach ,"
Economics Working Papers
958, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Oct 2005.
[Downloadable!] María Dolores Gadea & Laura Mayoral, 2006.
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International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 2(1), March.
[Downloadable!] John Barkoulas & Christopher F. Baum, 2003.
"Long-Memory Forecasting of U.S. Monetary Indices ,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
558, Boston College Department of Economics.
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Other versions: Taner Yigit, 2002.
"Effects of Moments on Aggregation and Long Memory in Inflation ,"
Departmental Working Papers
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[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Jinquan Liu & Tingguo Zheng & Jianli Sui, 2008.
"Dual long memory of inflation and test of the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty ,"
Psychometrika ,
Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 240-254, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2009.
"Multi-Factor Gegenbauer Processes and European Inflation Rates ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: John T. Barkoulas & Christopher F. Baum & Gurkan S. Oguz, 1997.
"Stochastic Long Memory in Traded Goods Prices ,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
349., Boston College Department of Economics.
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Other versions: Mustafa Caglayan & Feng Jiang, 2006.
"Reexamining the linkages between inflation and output growth: A bivariate ARFIMA-FIGARCH approach ,"
Working Papers
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Richard T. Baille & Claudio Morana, 2009.
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ICER Working Papers - Applied Mathematics Series
06-2009, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research.
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Michal Franta & Branislav Saxa & Katerina Smidkova, 2007.
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