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Estimating Attendance at Major League Baseball Games for the 2007 Season

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Author Info

  • Robert J. Lemke

    (Lake Forest College, lemke@lakeforest.edu)

  • Matthew Leonard

    (Lake Forest College)

  • Kelebogile Tlhokwane

    (Lake Forest College)

Abstract

Using games from Major League Baseball’s 2007 season, individual game attendance is estimated using censored normal regression with home-team fixed-effects. Included in the model are several factors affecting attendance, such as divisional and interleague rivalries, that to date have been omitted from the literature. The relationship between attendance and game characteristics is shown to be fundamentally different between small market and large market teams. Attendance is also shown to steadily increase as the probability that the home team will win the game increases, which stands in contrast to the uncertainty of outcome hypothesis that predicts that attendance will eventually decrease if the home team’s chance of winning the game gets too large.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by in its journal Journal of Sports Economics.

Volume (Year): 11 (2010)
Issue (Month): 3 (June)
Pages: 316-348

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Handle: RePEc:sae:jospec:v:11:y:2010:i:3:p:316-348

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Related research

Keywords: attendance; major league baseball; competitive balance; uncertainty of outcome hypothesis;

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Cited by:
  1. Zulal Denaux & David Denaux & Yeliz Yalcin, 2011. "Factors Affecting Attendance of Major League Baseball: Revisited," Atlantic Economic Journal, International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 39(2), pages 117-127, June.
  2. Nicholas King & P Dorian Owen & Rick Audas, 2010. "Playoff Uncertainty, Match Uncertainty and Attendance at Australian National Rugby League Matches," NCER Working Paper Series 61, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  3. Andrew Turner, 2013. "The Effect of Major League Baseball Rehab Assignments on Attendance in the International Baseball League," New York Economic Review, New York State Economics Association (NYSEA), vol. 44(1), pages 77-94.
  4. Dennis Coates & Brad R. Humphreys, 2011. "Game Attendance and Competitive Balance in the National Hockey League," UMBC Economics Department Working Papers 11-130, UMBC Department of Economics.
  5. Coates, Dennis & Humphreys, Brad & Zhou, Li, 2012. "Outcome Uncertainty, Reference-Dependent Preferences and Live Game Attendance," Working Papers 2012-7, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.

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