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Impact of Terrorism on Investment Decisions of Farmers

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  • Prakarsh Singh

Abstract

This article provides evidence for a particular channel through which sustained terrorism in rural areas may affect growth in developing countries. Using micro-level data from agricultural surveys during the period of insurgency in Punjab (India), I find significant negative effects of terrorism on the level of investment in long-term agricultural technology, but effects are small and insignificant for short-term investment. The presence of a major terrorist incident in a district in a year reduces long-term fixed investment by around 17 percent after controlling for district fixed-effects, time trends, district trends, and other farm-level controls. These negative effects are greater for richer farmers and those living in bordering districts. This results in a farmer losing close to 4 percent of his income annually because of the insurgency.

Suggested Citation

  • Prakarsh Singh, 2013. "Impact of Terrorism on Investment Decisions of Farmers," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 57(1), pages 143-168, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:57:y:2013:i:1:p:143-168
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    Keywords

    terrorism; investment; Punjab;
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