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Horizontal Inequality, Crosscutting Cleavages, and Civil War

Author

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  • Joshua R. Gubler
  • Joel Sawat Selway

Abstract

In this article, the authors bring together research on horizontal inequality, geographic dispersion of ethnic groups and crosscutting cleavages to present a more holistic theory of ethnic structure and civil war onset. The authors argue that rebel leaders are thwarted in their mobilization efforts in highly crosscutting societies due to a lower probability of potential combatants identifying with nationalist goals, decreased ability to exert social control, and diminished in-group communication. Using cross-national data from over 100 countries, the authors provide evidence that civil war onset is an average of nearly twelve times less probable in societies where ethnicity is crosscut by socioeconomic class, geographic region, and religion.

Suggested Citation

  • Joshua R. Gubler & Joel Sawat Selway, 2012. "Horizontal Inequality, Crosscutting Cleavages, and Civil War," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 56(2), pages 206-232, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:56:y:2012:i:2:p:206-232
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Omar Shahabudin McDoom & Celia Reyes & Christian Mina & Ronina Asis, 2019. "Inequality Between Whom? Patterns, Trends, and Implications of Horizontal Inequality in the Philippines," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 145(3), pages 923-942, October.
    2. Joshua R. Gubler & Joel S. Selway & Ashutosh Varshney, 2016. "Crosscutting cleavages and ethno-communal violence: Evidence from Indonesia in the post-Suharto era," WIDER Working Paper Series 129, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    3. John Draper & Joel Sawat Selway, 2019. "A New Dataset on Horizontal Structural Ethnic Inequalities in Thailand in Order to Address Sustainable Development Goal 10," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 141(1), pages 275-297, January.
    4. Basedau, Matthias & Gobien, Simone & Prediger, Sebastian, 2017. "The Ambivalent Role of Religion for Sustainable Development: A Review of the Empirical Evidence," GIGA Working Papers 297, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies.
    5. Isaac Kalonda Kanyama, 2017. "Patterns and trends in horizontal inequality in the Democratic Republic of the Congo," WIDER Working Paper Series 151, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    6. Christine S. Mele & David A. Siegel, 2019. "Identifiability, state repression, and the onset of ethnic conflict," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 181(3), pages 399-422, December.
    7. Ansorg, Nadine & Basedau, Matthias & Haass, Felix & Strasheim, Julia, 2013. "Mind the Gap: An Annotated Overview of Datasets in the Study of Institutions and Conflict in Divided Societies," GIGA Working Papers 234, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies.

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