IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/evarev/v32y2008i1p59-82.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Patterns of Crime and Drug Use Trajectories in Relation to Treatment Initiation and 5-Year Outcomes

Author

Listed:
  • Michael Prendergast

    (University of California, Los Angeles)

  • David Huang

    (University of California, Los Angeles)

  • Yih-Ing Hser

    (University of California, Los Angeles)

Abstract

Drug abusers vary considerably in their drug use and criminal behavior over time, and these trajectories are likely to influence drug treatment participation and treatment outcomes. Drawing on longitudinal natural history data from three samples of adult male drug users, we identify four groups with distinctive drug use and crime trajectories during the 5 years prior to their first treatment episode. The groups' characteristics of initial treatment are compared. The trajectory groups are then included in Poisson growth curve models to predict drug use, incarceration, and employment during the 5 years following first treatment. Findings indicate that posttreatment drug use decreased and posttreatment employment increased. There was little change in posttreatment incarceration. Posttreatment trajectories for drug use, incarceration, and employment were significantly different across the four trajectory groups.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Prendergast & David Huang & Yih-Ing Hser, 2008. "Patterns of Crime and Drug Use Trajectories in Relation to Treatment Initiation and 5-Year Outcomes," Evaluation Review, , vol. 32(1), pages 59-82, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:evarev:v:32:y:2008:i:1:p:59-82
    DOI: 10.1177/0193841X07308082
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0193841X07308082
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/0193841X07308082?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bengt Muthén & Kerby Shedden, 1999. "Finite Mixture Modeling with Mixture Outcomes Using the EM Algorithm," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 463-469, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marco Guerra & Francesca Bassi & José G. Dias, 2020. "A Multiple-Indicator Latent Growth Mixture Model to Track Courses with Low-Quality Teaching," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 147(2), pages 361-381, January.
    2. Silvia Bacci & Francesco Bartolucci & Giulia Bettin & Claudia Pigini, 2017. "A mixture growth model for migrants' remittances: An application to the German Socio-Economic Panel," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 145, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
    3. Patrick Sturgis & Louise Sullivan, 2008. "Exploring social mobility with latent trajectory groups," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 171(1), pages 65-88, January.
    4. Getachew A. Dagne, 2016. "A growth mixture Tobit model: application to AIDS studies," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(7), pages 1174-1185, July.
    5. Bacci, Silvia & Bartolucci, Francesco & Pigini, Claudia & Signorelli, Marcello, 2014. "A finite mixture latent trajectory model for hirings and separations in the labor market," MPRA Paper 59730, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Proust-Lima, Cécile & Joly, Pierre & Dartigues, Jean-François & Jacqmin-Gadda, Hélène, 2009. "Joint modelling of multivariate longitudinal outcomes and a time-to-event: A nonlinear latent class approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(4), pages 1142-1154, February.
    7. Francesco Bartolucci & Ivonne Solis-Trapala, 2010. "Multidimensional Latent Markov Models in a Developmental Study of Inhibitory Control and Attentional Flexibility in Early Childhood," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 75(4), pages 725-743, December.
    8. Yuan Liu & Hongyun Liu, 2019. "Effects of Distance and Shape on the Estimation of the Piecewise Growth Mixture Model," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 36(3), pages 659-677, October.
    9. Benjamin Agbo & Hussain Al-Aqrabi & Richard Hill & Tariq Alsboui, 2022. "Missing Data Imputation in the Internet of Things Sensor Networks," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-16, May.
    10. Isabelle Archambault & Véronique Dupéré, 2017. "Joint trajectories of behavioral, affective, and cognitive engagement in elementary school," The Journal of Educational Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 110(2), pages 188-198, March.
    11. Pietro Lovaglio & Mario Mezzanzanica, 2013. "Classification of longitudinal career paths," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 989-1008, February.
    12. Zhou, Xingcai & Liu, Xinsheng, 2008. "The EM algorithm for the extended finite mixture of the factor analyzers model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(8), pages 3939-3953, April.
    13. Leila Amiri & Mojtaba Khazaei & Mojtaba Ganjali, 2018. "A mixture latent variable model for modeling mixed data in heterogeneous populations and its applications," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 102(1), pages 95-115, January.
    14. Joanna F. Dipnall & Belinda J. Gabbe & Warwick J. Teague & Ben Beck, 2020. "Identifying Homogeneous Patterns of Injury in Paediatric Trauma Patients to Improve Risk-Adjusted Models of Mortality and Functional Outcomes," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-20, January.
    15. Lu, Xiaosun & Huang, Yangxin & Zhu, Yiliang, 2016. "Finite mixture of nonlinear mixed-effects joint models in the presence of missing and mismeasured covariate, with application to AIDS studies," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 119-130.
    16. Jost Reinecke & Daniel Seddig, 2011. "Growth mixture models in longitudinal research," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 95(4), pages 415-434, December.
    17. Yangxin Huang & Xiaosun Lu & Jiaqing Chen & Juan Liang & Miriam Zangmeister, 2018. "Joint model-based clustering of nonlinear longitudinal trajectories and associated time-to-event data analysis, linked by latent class membership: with application to AIDS clinical studies," Lifetime Data Analysis: An International Journal Devoted to Statistical Methods and Applications for Time-to-Event Data, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 699-718, October.
    18. David Aristei & Silvia Bacci & Francesco Bartolucci & Silvia Pandolfi, 2021. "A bivariate finite mixture growth model with selection," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 15(3), pages 759-793, September.
    19. Maura Mezzetti & Daniele Borzelli & Andrea d’Avella, 2022. "A Bayesian approach to model individual differences and to partition individuals: case studies in growth and learning curves," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 31(5), pages 1245-1271, December.
    20. Anthony, Elizabeth K. & Robbins, Danielle E., 2013. "A latent class analysis of resilient development among early adolescents living in public housing," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 82-90.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:evarev:v:32:y:2008:i:1:p:59-82. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.