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Political Persecution or Economic Deprivation? A Time-Series Analysis of Haitian Exodus, 1990—2004

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  • Stephen M. Shellman

    (Department of International Affairs University of Georgia Athens, Georgia, USA, Department of Government College of William & Mary Williamsburg, Virginia, USA, smshel@uga.edu)

  • Brandon M. Stewart

    (Department of Government College of William & Mary Williamsburg, Virginia, USA)

Abstract

This study addresses the factors that lead individuals to flee their homes in search of refuge. Many argue that individuals abandon their homes in favor of an uncertain life elsewhere because of economic hardship, while others argue that threats to their lives, physical person, and liberty cause them to flee. This study engages the debate by analyzing flight patterns over time from Haiti to the United States as a function of economic and security factors. Which factors have the largest influence on Haitian-U.S. migratory patterns? Our results show that both economics and security play a role. However, our analyses are able to distinguish between the effects of different individual economic and security indicators on Haitian-U.S. migration.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephen M. Shellman & Brandon M. Stewart, 2007. "Political Persecution or Economic Deprivation? A Time-Series Analysis of Haitian Exodus, 1990—2004," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 24(2), pages 121-137, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:compsc:v:24:y:2007:i:2:p:121-137
    DOI: 10.1080/07388940701257523
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    References listed on IDEAS

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