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The Role of Preference Structure and Moral Hazard in a Multiple Equilibria. Model of Financial Crises

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  • Sergio Masciantonio

    ()
    (Università degli Studi "Roma Tre")

Abstract

This paper proposes an analysis of financial crises by a multiple equilibria model, based on the assumption of common knowledge. This model modifies and broadens the Corsetti, Guimaraes and Roubini (2003) model based on global games theory. In the first part we assert the implications for the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as an international lender of last resort, utilising existing literature based on multiple equilibria models. In the second part, we extend the analysis and highlight the interesting implications. The model predicts the IMF should not be too conservative in its decisions, while avoiding the excessive liquidity supports, which can lead to moral hazard distortions.

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Article provided by SIPI Spa in its journal Rivista di Politica Economica.

Volume (Year): 95 (2005)
Issue (Month): 6 (November-December)
Pages: 135-165

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Handle: RePEc:rpo:ripoec:v:95:y:2005:i:6:p:135-165

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  1. Stanley Fischer, 1999. "On the Need for an International Lender of Last Resort," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 85-104, Fall.
  2. Luis Felipe Céspedes & Roberto Chang & Andrés Velasco, 2004. "Balance Sheets and Exchange Rate Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(4), pages 1183-1193, September.
  3. Michael P. Dooley & Sujata Verma, 2001. "Rescue Packages and Output Losses Following Crises," NBER Working Papers 8315, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Douglas W. Diamond & Philip H. Dybvig, 2000. "Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Win, pages 14-23.
  5. Steven Radelet & Jeffrey Sachs, 1998. "The Onset of the East Asian Financial Crisis," NBER Working Papers 6680, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Jean-Charles Rochet & Xavier Vives, 2002. "Coordination failures and the lender of last resort: was Bagehot right after all?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24928, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  7. Maurice Obstfeld, 1998. "The Global Capital Market: Benefactor or Menace?," NBER Working Papers 6559, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  8. Dani Rodrik & Andres Velasco, 1999. "Short-Term Capital Flows," NBER Working Papers 7364, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  9. Olivier Jeanne, 2001. "The International Lender of Last Resort," IMF Working Papers 01/76, International Monetary Fund.
  10. Bengt Holmstrom & Jean Tirole, 1996. "Private and Public Supply of Liquidity," NBER Working Papers 5817, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  11. Jeanne, Olivier & Wyplosz, Charles, 2001. "The International Lender of Last Resort: How Large is Large Enough?," CEPR Discussion Papers 2842, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  12. Roberto Chang & Andrés Velasco, 2001. "A Model Of Financial Crises In Emerging Markets," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 116(2), pages 489-517, May.
  13. Paul Krugman, 1999. "Balance Sheets, the Transfer Problem, and Financial Crises," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer, vol. 6(4), pages 459-472, November.
  14. Jeffrey D. Sachs, 1999. "Creditor Panics: Causes and Remedies," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 18(3), pages 377-390, Winter.
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