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Modeling Government Policies used for Sustaining Economic Growth in Romania

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  • Stanica, Cristian Nicolae

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    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy)

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    Abstract

    This paper presents some government policies scenarios and proposes the appropriate policies for stimulating the economic growth in Romania. The GDP dynamics, budgetary revenues, employment and wages are forecasted using a macroeconomic model of the Romanian economy. The direct effects of the fiscal policies and the indirect effects of the economic growth changes are investigated by three alternative scenarios as compared to a baseline scenario. The baseline should meet the following requirements: update of the macroeconomic indicators and maintenance of the same fiscal policy in the forecast period 2012-2013 as to 2011.

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    File URL: http://www.ipe.ro/rjef/rjef4_11/rjef4_2011p90-105.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Institute for Economic Forecasting in its journal Romanian Journal for Economic Forecasting.

    Volume (Year): (2011)
    Issue (Month): 4 (December)
    Pages: 90-105

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    Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2011:i:4:p:90-105

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    Related research

    Keywords: financial programming; simulation models; mix of policies; fiscal relaxation; minimum wage; taxation bases;

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    References

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    Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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    1. Dobrescu, Emilian, 2008. "A Desirable Scenario For The Romanian Economy During 2008-2013," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(4), pages 15-58, December.
    2. Dobrescu, Emilian, 2010. "Macromodel Simulations for the Romanian Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 7-28, July.
    3. Stanica, Cristian, 2004. "Macroeconomic Forecasting With A Sam Model For The Romanian Economy - Part Ii – Equations Of The Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 1(3), pages 66-73, August.
    4. Dobrescu, Emilian, 1996. "Macromodels of the Romanian transition Economy," MPRA Paper 35810, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Pereira, Alfredo M. & Shoven, John B., 1988. "Survey of dynamic computational general equilibrium models for tax policy evaluation," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 401-436.
    6. Stanica, Cristian, 2004. "MACROECONOMIC FORECASTING BASED ON A SAM MODEL OF THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY - Part I – Main Features of the Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 1(1), pages 92-96, February.
    7. Moisa, Altar & Necula, Ciprian & Bobeica, Gabriel, 2010. "Estimating Potential GDP for the Romanian Economy. An Eclectic Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 5-25, September.
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    Cited by:
    1. Andrei, Dalina Maria, 2012. "Foreign Direct Investments in Romania. A Structural and Dynamic View," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 129-146, December.

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