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Dropout Behavior in R&D Races with Learning

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Author Info
Steve A. Lippman
Kevin F. McCardle
Abstract

We examine a game-theoretic model of a two-firm R&D race in which expenditures on R&D and the concomitant increase in experience/learning enable the firms to increase their probability of discovering an invention. The learning process is stochastic. It generates a unique subgame-perfect equilibrium for identical firms with the characteristic that the leader never drops out, but the follower drops out if the leader gains a significant lead. The leader can find it optimal to drop out if the firms value the invention differently or have different R&D efficiencies. Thus, our analysis generates results between vigorous competition and natural monopoly.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by The RAND Corporation in its journal RAND Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 18 (1987)
Issue (Month): 2 (Summer)
Pages: 287-295
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Handle: RePEc:rje:randje:v:18:y:1987:i:summer:p:287-295

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  1. Fershtman, Chaim & Markovich, Sarit, 2006. "Patents, Imitation and Licensing in an Asymmetric Dynamic R&D Race," CEPR Discussion Papers 5481, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Nguyen, Thang, 2004. "Technological Progress in Races for Product Supremacy," MPRA Paper 235, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Nov 2006. [Downloadable!]
  3. A. Messica & A. Mehrez, 2002. "Time-to-market, window of opportunity, and salvageability of a new product development," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(6), pages 371-378. [Downloadable!]
  4. Julia Porter Liebeskind & Amalya Lumerman Oliver & Lynne G. Zucker & Marilynn B. Brewer, 1995. "Social Networks, Learning, and Flexibility: Sourcing Scientific Knowledge in New Biotechnology Firms," NBER Working Papers 5320, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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