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The Economies of Alternative Levels of Reliability for Electric Power Generation Systems

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  • Michael L. Telson

Abstract

Providing excess electrical generation capacity for reliability purposes has an economic cost; it is also true that higher reliability adds to the value of electric service. After some point, however, the additional benefits do not warrant the additional cost. In this paper we examine the considerations that should determine sensible reliability levels for electric generation systems. We construct a cost/benefit argument which suggests -- subject to various provisos that we make -- that the present "1-day-in-10-year" loss of load probability target reliability planning criterion may be uneconomically high and that these targets might reasonably be reduced to at least a "5-day-in-10-year" level.

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  • Michael L. Telson, 1975. "The Economies of Alternative Levels of Reliability for Electric Power Generation Systems," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 6(2), pages 679-694, Autumn.
    • Handle: RePEc:rje:bellje:v:6:y:1975:i:autumn:p:679-694
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    Cited by:

    1. Bespalova, Olga, 2007. "Методы Дифференциации Тарифов На Электроэнергию По Надежности [Methods for Differentiating Electricity Tariffs by Reliability]," MPRA Paper 117334, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Jörn Kruse, 2010. "Priority and Internet Quality," Chapters, in: Morten Falch & Jan Markendahl (ed.), Promoting New Telecom Infrastructures, chapter 10, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Ozbafli, Aygul & Jenkins, Glenn P., 2015. "The willingness to pay by households for improved reliability of electricity service in North Cyprus," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 359-369.
    4. Becker, Sophia & Schober, Dominik & Wassermann, Sandra, 2016. "How to approach consumers’ nonmonetary evaluation of electricity supply security? The case of Germany from a multidisciplinary perspective," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 74-84.
    5. Kim, Kayoung & Cho, Youngsang, 2017. "Estimation of power outage costs in the industrial sector of South Korea," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 236-245.
    6. De Vos, K. & Stevens, N. & Devolder, O. & Papavasiliou, A. & Hebb, B. & Matthys-Donnadieu, J., 2019. "Dynamic dimensioning approach for operating reserves: Proof of concept in Belgium," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 272-285.
    7. William W. Hogan, 2013. "Electricity Scarcity Pricing Through Operating Reserves," Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
    8. Musiliu 0. Oseni & Michael G. Pollitt, 2013. "The Economic Costs of Unsupplied Electricty: Evidence from Backup Generation among African Firms," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1351, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    9. Diboma, B.S. & Tamo Tatietse, T., 2013. "Power interruption costs to industries in Cameroon," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 582-592.
    10. Wissner, Matthias, 2008. "Messung und Bewertung von Versorgungsqualität," WIK Discussion Papers 309, WIK Wissenschaftliches Institut für Infrastruktur und Kommunikationsdienste GmbH.
    11. Ozbafli, Aygul & Jenkins, Glenn P., 2016. "Estimating the willingness to pay for reliable electricity supply: A choice experiment study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 443-452.
    12. Michael Schmidthaler & Jed Cohen & Johannes Reichl & Stefan Schmidinger, 2015. "The effects of network regulation on electricity supply security: a European analysis," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 285-316, December.
    13. de Nooij, Michiel & Koopmans, Carl & Bijvoet, Carlijn, 2007. "The value of supply security: The costs of power interruptions: Economic input for damage reduction and investment in networks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 277-295, March.
    14. Mark W. Gellerson & Shawna P. Grosskopf, 1980. "Public Utility Pricing, Investment, and Reliability under Uncertainty: A Review," Public Finance Review, , vol. 8(4), pages 477-492, October.
    15. Hagspiel, Simeon, 2017. "Reliable Electricity: The Effects of System Integration and Cooperative Measures to Make it Work," EWI Working Papers 2017-13, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    16. Hagspiel, Simeon, 2016. "Supply Chain Reliability and the Role of Individual Suppliers," EWI Working Papers 2016-5, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    17. Luise Röpke, 2015. "Essays on the Integration of New Energy Sources into Existing Energy Systems," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 58.
    18. Hagspiel, Simeon & Knaut, Andreas & Peter, Jakob, 2017. "Reliability in Multy-Regional Power Systems - Capacity Adequacy and the Role of Interconnectors," EWI Working Papers 2017-7, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI), revised 29 Jun 2018.
    19. Peter, Jakob & Wagner, Johannes, 2018. "Optimal Allocation of Variable Renewable Energy Considering Contributions to Security of Supply," EWI Working Papers 2018-2, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    20. Robert J. Michaels, 1989. "Reorganizing Electricity Supply In New Zealand: Lessons For The United States," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 7(4), pages 73-90, October.
    21. Röpke, Luise, 2013. "The development of renewable energies and supply security: A trade-off analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1011-1021.
    22. Hagspiel, Simeon, 2018. "Reliability with interdependent suppliers," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 268(1), pages 161-173.

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