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El efecto Evo

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Author Info

  • Villegas, Horacio Villegas

    ()
    (Universidad de Chile)

  • Aguilar, Tirza J. Aguilar

    ()
    (Universidad Católica Boliviana “San Pablo”)

  • Vargas, Jaime Vargas

    ()
    (Banco Central de Bolivia)

  • Montaño, Cecilia Montaño

    ()
    (Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas)

Abstract

Utilizando un modelo de equilibrio general computable y aplicando una microsimulación sobre la Encuesta MECOVI del año 2007, el documento muestra que la inversión pública tiene un efecto positivo sobre la reducción de la pobreza en escenarios de inversión moderada, inversión actual e inversión alta. No obstante, la reducción de la pobreza no es muy significativa. Los resultados más importantes se evidencian en el índice de recuento, que se reduce alrededor de 3 puntos en un escenario de alta intervención, y 2 puntos en un escenario de inversión como el actual. Sin embargo, los resultados obtenidos para los indicadores de brecha y severidad de pobreza son más modestos.

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File URL: http://www.iisec.ucb.edu.bo/journal/articulos/LAJED%201406.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana in its journal Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico.

Volume (Year): (2010)
Issue (Month): 14 ()
Pages: 163-182

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Handle: RePEc:ris:revlde:1406

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Postal: Universidad católica Boliviana San Pablo, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas, Av. 14 de septiembre 4807. Obrajes, La Paz, Bolivia
Phone: (591-2) 784159
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Related research

Keywords: Pobreza; inversión pública; Modelo de Equilibrio General Computable; índice de recuento; brecha; severidad; MECOVI;

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References

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  1. Thurlow, James & van Seventer, Dirk Ernst, 2002. "A standard computable general equilibrium model for South Africa," TMD discussion papers 100, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  2. Rainer Thiele & Daniel Piazolo, 2003. "A Social Accounting Matrix for Bolivia Featuring Formal and Informal Activities," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 40(120), pages 285-318.
  3. Rattso, Jorn, 1982. "Different macroclosures of the original Johansen model and their impact on policy evaluation," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 85-97, March.
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