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¿Existe espacio para políticas anti-shock en Bolivia?

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Author Info

  • Gemio, Luis Carlos

    (Universidad Católica Boliviana)

  • Wiebelt, Manfred

    (Kiel Institute for World Economics)

Abstract

Las perspectivas de crecimiento de mediano plazo de Bolivia son prometedoras, pero podrían perderse debido al descontento social y la inestabilidad política si el país no resuelve sus problemas económicos de corto plazo, resultantes tanto de shocks externos como de factores internos. Considerando este panorama, este documento analiza las posibilidades que tiene la economía boliviana de aplicar políticas anti-shock a fin de mitigar los efectos de corto plazo de los shocks. Para este propósito se describe un modelo de equilibrio general computable (MEGC) recursivo-dinámico que incluye a los sectores real y financiero y que captura los aspectos particulares que caracterizan el funcionamiento de la economía boliviana. El modelo es usado tanto para evaluar los efectos de los shocks externos como para probar la efectividad de diferentes políticas.

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File URL: http://www.iisec.ucb.edu.bo/journal/articulos/0102.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana in its journal Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico.

Volume (Year): (2003)
Issue (Month): 1 (Septiembre)
Pages: 37-68

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Handle: RePEc:ris:revlde:0102

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Universidad católica Boliviana San Pablo, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas, Av. 14 de septiembre 4807. Obrajes, La Paz, Bolivia
Phone: (591-2) 784159
Fax: (591-2) 786707
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Web page: http://www.iisec.ucb.edu.bo
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Related research

Keywords: Reformas; Económicas; Bolivia;

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Jann Lay & Rainer Thiele & Manfred Wiebelt, 2004. "Pro-poor Growth in Bolivia: Accounting for External Shocks and Policy Reforms," Kiel Working Papers 1231, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  2. Peter Nunnenkamp & Rainer Schweickert & Manfred Wiebelt, 2006. "Distributional Effects of FDI: How the Interaction of FDI and Economic Policy Affects Poor Households in Bolivia," Kiel Working Papers 1281, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  3. Andersen, Lykke Eg & Evia V, José Luis, 2003. "The Effectiveness of Foreign Aid in Bolivia," Documentos de trabajo 10/2003, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana.
  4. Anonymous, 2009. "Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, Volume 5, Issue 1," Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, vol. 5(1).
  5. Manfred Wiebelt, 2004. "GEM-PIA: A Real-Financial General Equilibrium Model for Poverty Impact Analysis � Technical Description," Kiel Working Papers 1230, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

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