Medium-term macroeconomic determinants of exchange rate volatility
AbstractIs there a short- to medium-term linkage between macroeconomic and exchange rate volatility? This paper provides a clear-cut answer to the above question, pointing to significant linkages and trade-offs between macroeconomic and exchange rate volatility, particularly involving output volatility. Evidence of bidirectional causality is also found, with macroeconomic volatility showing a stronger causal power than exchange rate volatility. Many tasks in finance, such as option pricing, risk analysis, and portfolio allocation, rely on the availability of good forecasting models. The paper points to new directions for the construction of improved medium-term volatility models.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Capco Institute in its journal Journal of Financial Transformation.
Volume (Year): 25 (2009)
Issue (Month): ()
Contact details of provider:
Postal: 120 Broadway, 29th Floor New York, NY 10271
Phone: +1 212 284 8600
Web page: http://www.capco.com/
exchange rate volatility; macroeconomic volatility; fractional integration; structural breaks;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
You can help add them by filling out this form.
reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.Access and download statisticsgeneral information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Peter Springett).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.