Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login to save this article or follow this journal

Medium-term macroeconomic determinants of exchange rate volatility


Author Info

  • Morana, Claudio

    (Università del Piemonte Orientale)


Is there a short- to medium-term linkage between macroeconomic and exchange rate volatility? This paper provides a clear-cut answer to the above question, pointing to significant linkages and trade-offs between macroeconomic and exchange rate volatility, particularly involving output volatility. Evidence of bidirectional causality is also found, with macroeconomic volatility showing a stronger causal power than exchange rate volatility. Many tasks in finance, such as option pricing, risk analysis, and portfolio allocation, rely on the availability of good forecasting models. The paper points to new directions for the construction of improved medium-term volatility models.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL:
File Function: Full text
Download Restriction: no

Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Capco Institute in its journal Journal of Financial Transformation.

Volume (Year): 25 (2009)
Issue (Month): ()
Pages: 55-64

as in new window
Handle: RePEc:ris:jofitr:0022

Contact details of provider:
Postal: 120 Broadway, 29th Floor New York, NY 10271
Phone: +1 212 284 8600
Web page:

Related research

Keywords: exchange rate volatility; macroeconomic volatility; fractional integration; structural breaks;

Find related papers by JEL classification:


No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.



This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.


Access and download statistics


When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:jofitr:0022. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Peter Springett).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.