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Federal Government Budget Deficits and Interest Rates in the United States: An Empirical Analysis

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Abstract

Il lavoro esamina, con specifico riguardo agli Stati Uniti, 1’impatto reale dei deficits del bilancio federale sui tassi nominali di interesse. Si distingue tra il deficit strutturale, che è la componente esogena del deficit complessivo, e il deficit ciclico, che è invece la componente endogena del deficit complessivo. Utilizzando il deficit strutturale, vengono stimate delle equazioni in forma ridotta che rivelano, a differenza della maggior parte degli altri studi sull’argomento, che i deficits di bilancio del governo federale negli Stati Uniti portano all’aumento dei tassi di interesse.

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  • Cebula, Richard J. & Bates, Kimberly & Marks, Louise & Roth, Allison, 1988. "Federal Government Budget Deficits and Interest Rates in the United States: An Empirical Analysis," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 41(1-2), pages 1-7.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0525
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    Cited by:

    1. Maarten Allers & Jakob De Haan & Flip De Kam, 1998. "Using Survey Data To Test for Ricardian Equivalence," Public Finance Review, , vol. 26(6), pages 565-582, November.
    2. Richard Cebula, 2003. "Budget deficits and interest rates in Germany," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 9(1), pages 64-68, February.
    3. Cebula, Richard & McGrath, Richard & Toma, Michael, 2005. "Impact of the Primary Budget Deficit on the Nominal Long Term Interest Rate Yield on Tax Free Municipal Bonds," MPRA Paper 61411, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Richard J. Cebula, 1991. "A Brief Empirical Note on the Impact of Budget Deficits on the Real Municipal Bond Rate," Public Finance Review, , vol. 19(4), pages 437-443, October.
    5. Olorunfemi Yasiru ALIMI & Olumuyiwa Ganiyu YINUSA & Ishola Rufus AKINTOYE & Olalekan Bashir AWORINDE, 2015. "Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy Changes in Nigeria," The Journal of Accounting and Management, Danubius University of Galati, issue 3, pages 85-94, December.
    6. Richard Cebula, 1999. "Budget deficits, capital flows, and long-term interest rates: Cointegration findings for the united kingdom," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 5(4), pages 489-495, November.
    7. R.J. Cebula, 1997. "Government deficit, ex post real long-term interest rates and causality," Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 50(202), pages 325-336.
    8. Matiur Rahman & Muhammed Mustafa & Eldon Bailey, 1996. "US budget deficits, inflation and exchange rate: a cointegration approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(6), pages 365-368.
    9. Michael A. Conte & Ali F. Darrat, 1993. "Testing Alternative Views Of Government Budgeting," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(1), pages 19-40, September.
    10. Artatrana Ratha, 2012. "Twin Deficits or Distant Cousins? Evidence from India1," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 13(1), pages 51-68, March.
    11. Oludele Akinloye Akinboade, 2004. "The relationship between budget deficit and interest rates in South Africa: some econometric results," Development Southern Africa, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 289-302.
    12. Perveen, Asma & Munir, Kashif, 2017. "Impact of Total, Internal and External Government Debt on Interest Rate in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 83427, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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