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On the Empirics of Trade and Growth Relationship in India

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  • Singh, Tarlok

    ()
    (Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics, Nathan campus)

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    Abstract

    The study analyses the long run equilibrium and short run dynamic relationship among real exports, real imports and real income in India for the period 1951-52 to 1995-96. The long run relationship is examined using both the Engle-Granger (1987) two-step and the Johansen (1991) maximum-likelihood systems estimators. The short run relationship is analysed and the hypothesis of Granger non-causality is tested by estimating a dynamic VAR model. A more recent estimator based on level VAR developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) is also used to test the hypothesis of Granger non-causality. The study does not find any evidence for the presence of cointegrating relationship among the variables. The study supports the presence of a short run dynamic relationship with unidirectional Granger causality flowing from imports to exports and from exports to income.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Camera di Commercio di Genova in its journal Economia Internazionale / International Economics.

    Volume (Year): 55 (2002)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 177-192

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    Handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0188

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