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The relation between economic growth and foreign direct investment during the economic crisis in the European Union

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  • Mihaela Simionescu

    (Romanian Academy, Institute for Economic Forecasting, Bucharest, Romania)

Abstract

The goal of this research is to investigate the relationship between economic growth and foreign direct investment inflows in the European Union (EU-28) in the period of the recent economic crisis. Panel data approach and Bayesian techniques are employed to solve the problem of a short set of data (2008–2014). The panel data approaches (panel vector-autoregressive model and Bayesian random effect models) identified a reciprocal and positive relationship between FDI and economic growth in EU-28 starting with 2008. The individual approach based on Bayesian linear regressions identified this tendency as being specific for most of the EU-28 countries. However, there are some countries for which higher FDI did not generate economic growth and some countries where higher GDP did not attract more FDI and FDI did not bring economic growth. According to cluster analysis, the disparities among countries regarding the FDI distribution according to GDP growth and GDP rate distribution according to FDI diminished in 2014 compared to 2008. The basic conclusion is that on overall in the European Union there was a reciprocal relationship between economic growth and FDI since the beginning of the crisis with a tendency of reducing disparities between countries in attracting FDI.

Suggested Citation

  • Mihaela Simionescu, 2016. "The relation between economic growth and foreign direct investment during the economic crisis in the European Union," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 34(1), pages 187-213.
    • Handle: RePEc:rfe:zbefri:v:34:y:2016:i:1:p:187-213
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    5. Imad A. Moosa & Ebrahim Merza, 2022. "The effect of COVID-19 on foreign direct investment inflows: stylised facts and some explanations," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-12, December.
    6. Yilmaz BAYAR & Mahmut Unsal SASMAZ, 2019. "Foreign borrowing, foreign direct investment inflows and economic growth in European Union transition economies," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 10, pages 107-125, December.
    7. Devesh Singh & Sunil Kumar Dhiman, 2023. "The linkage between carbon emissions, foreign direct investment, economic growth, and gross value added," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 13(1), pages 156-176, March.
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    9. Yarlina Yacoub, 2019. "Causality of Economic Growth and Openness in ASEAN-5," GATR Journals jber164, Global Academy of Training and Research (GATR) Enterprise.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic growth; foreign direct investment; panel data; Bayesian model; crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements

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