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Necesidades de gasto sanitario público inducidas por factores demográficos. Un análisis por Comunidades Autónomas

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  • Jesús Sánchez Fernández
  • José Sánchez Maldonado

Abstract

RESUMEN En este trabajo se realiza un ejercicio de simulación sobre el comportamiento de las necesidades futuras de gasto sanitario público por CC.AA. El mismo se realiza con un horizonte temporal medio y la principal componente de ese comportamiento es la evolución de la estructura demográfica de cada CC.AA. El gasto total de descompone en cuatro grandes partidas: Gasto Hospitalario, Atención Primaria, Gasto en Farmacia y Otros. Para recoger de una forma adecuada la estructura demográfica se ha trabajado con perfiles de gasto por edad y se ha tenido en cuenta de forma explícita distintos comportamientos de las migraciones en el futuro, pues esta componente está jugando un papel determinante en el crecimiento y estructura de la población. ABSTRACT In this paper, we make a simulation exercise about the evolution on health expenditure disaggregated by CC.AA. It is not a long run exercise and the main factors explaining its behavior are those of demographic nature. The total expenditure is worked on by subgroup: Hospital Expenditure, Primary Care, Pharmaceutical Expenditure and Others. We have work with expenditure profiles because this is the best way to capture the demographic structure. On the other hand, we had made explicit assumptions about behavior of immigrants, since this flow of people has become very important from the last years.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Universidades Públicas de Andalucía in its journal Revista de Estudios Regionales.

Volume (Year): 04 (2009)
Issue (Month): ()
Pages: 157-180

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Handle: RePEc:rer:articu:v:04:y:2009:p:157-180

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Related research

Keywords: Gasto sanitario; Inmigración; Perfiles de gasto; Health expenditure; Immigration; Expenditure profiles;

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