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Efectos de las exportaciones en el crecimiento economico de Mexico: Un analisis de cointegracion, 1929-2009

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Author Info

  • Domingo Rodriguez Benavides

    ()
    (Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana-Azcapotzalco)

  • Francisco Venegas-Martinez
  • Instituto Politecnico Nacional

Abstract

En esta investigacion se analiza la hipotesis Export Led Growth para Mexico, durante el periodo 1929-2009, la cual establece que la expansion de las exportaciones puede influir positivamente sobre el crecimiento economico. Lo anterior se lleva a cabo a traves de tecnicas econometricas de series de tiempo multivariadas, especificamente se utiliza la prueba de cointegracion de Johansen y el analisis de causalidad de Granger. Mediante la estimacion de un modelo de correccion del error se encuentra una relacion estable de largo plazo entre las exportaciones y el PIB real de Mexico, en la cual la direccion de la causalidad va de las exportaciones hacia el crecimiento del PIB.

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File URL: http://econoquantum.cucea.udg.mx/Volumen_7_Num_2/art_3_vol_7_num_2.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia. in its journal EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Negocios.

Volume (Year): 7 (2011)
Issue (Month): 2 (Enero - Junio)
Pages: 55-71

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Handle: RePEc:qua:journl:v:7:y:2011:i:2:p:55-71

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Related research

Keywords: exportaciones; crecimiento economico; cointegracion; modelos de correccion del error; causalidad de Granger.;

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