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Les risques du système bancaire chinois après le plan de relance de 2008-2010 et le boom de l’immobilier

Author

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  • Alicia García-Herrero
  • Daniel Santabárbara

Abstract

[eng] China’s Banking System Risks after the 2008-10 Stimulus Package and the Housing Boom.. China’s banking system has performed extremely well during the last few years both compared with its peers in the West but also with its own situation only a few years ago. The improvement in terms [fre] Le système bancaire chinois a réalisé de très bonnes performances ces dernières années, en comparaison de ses homologues de l’Ouest mais aussi de sa propre situation dans un récent passé. Les améliorations en termes de taille et de rentabilité sont la conséquence de sa restructuration par l’État, grâce à la recapitalisation gouvernementale et à l’épuration des créances douteuses. De plus, l’important plan de relance lancé par la Chine pendant la crise financière mondiale a permis aux banques de se développer en augmentant considérablement leurs volumes de prêts. Nombre de ces prêts se sont concentrés sur les structures de financement des gouvernements provinciaux, dont les revenus dépendent directement des prix de la terre et de l’immobilier en général. Étant donnée l’explosion des prix de l’immobilier en Chine, les autorités sont amenées à prendre des mesures strictes pour réduire le volume de crédits accordés (spécialement aux gouvernements provinciaux) et faire baisser les prix de la terre et de l’immobilier. Ces mesures pourraient remettre en question la solvabilité future des structures de financement des gouvernements provinciaux, avec toutes les conséquences négatives que cela pourrait entraîner pour le système bancaire chinois. . Classification JEL : G21, 053, P25, P34.

Suggested Citation

  • Alicia García-Herrero & Daniel Santabárbara, 2011. "Les risques du système bancaire chinois après le plan de relance de 2008-2010 et le boom de l’immobilier," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 102(2), pages 57-69.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:recofi:ecofi_0987-3368_2011_num_102_2_5847
    DOI: 10.3406/ecofi.2011.5847
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ecofi.2011.5847
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    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • P25 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics
    • P34 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions - - - Finance

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