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La Chine et l’Inde : les plus solides des BRIC

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  • Françoise Lemoine

Abstract

[eng] China and India : the most solid BRIC . The global crisis has hit the two economies. China, which is more opened to international trade, has suffered more than India. Both countries have launched stimulus policies which have successfully cushioned the impact of the external shocks. If the global recovery is to remain slow, economic growth in China and India will not return to its high pre-crisis level but can nevertheless be relatively high. India will benefit from a demographic dividend thanks to the increase in its working age population. In China, the economy of the inland provinces, which do not depend on external markets, may be the engine of a new model of economic growth. . Classification JEL : E65, F59, P52. [fre] Les deux économies ont été affectées par la crise mondiale mais la Chine l’a été plus que l’Inde, car elle est plus ouverte au commerce international. Ces deux pays ont mené des politiques de relance efficaces qui ont amorti les chocs extérieurs. Si la reprise dans l’économie mondiale reste lente, la Chine et l’Inde ne retrouveront pas les rythmes de croissance records atteints avant la crise, mais ils peuvent avoir une croissance relativement forte. L’Inde bénéficie d’un contexte démographique favorable avec l’augmentation de sa population en âge de travailler. En Chine, le centre de gravité de l’économie pourrait se déplacer vers les provinces de l’intérieur, peu dépendantes des marchés mondiaux, ce qui amorcerait un nouveau régime de croissance. . Classification JEL : E65, F59, P52.

Suggested Citation

  • Françoise Lemoine, 2009. "La Chine et l’Inde : les plus solides des BRIC," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 95(2), pages 229-241.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:recofi:ecofi_0987-3368_2009_num_95_2_5355
    DOI: 10.3406/ecofi.2009.5355
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ecofi.2009.5355
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Françoise Lemoine & Deniz Ünal‐Kesenci, 2008. "Rise of China and India in International Trade: From Textiles to New Technology," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 16(5), pages 16-34, September.
    2. Shalendra D. Sharma, 2009. "Dealing with the Contagion: China and India in the Aftermath of the Subprime Meltdown," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 17(2), pages 1-14, March.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
    • F59 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - Other
    • P52 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Comparative Economic Systems - - - Comparative Studies of Particular Economies
    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
    • F59 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - Other
    • P52 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Comparative Economic Systems - - - Comparative Studies of Particular Economies

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