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« Les disparitions de firmes industrielles en France : un modèle économétrique »


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  • Michel Rainelli
  • Luc Marco


[eng] The disappearance of entreprises by business failure is mostly studied on the level of Management or Macroeconomics. A third approach is retained here : the sectorial level of the Industry stricto sensu. From previous analysis the variables of a transverse model with temporal lags are set up, and applied on 32 industrial sectors for the 1980-1983 period. The results indicate the existence of a failure risk independent of the practiced activity. The best variable is the rate of firm's creation three years before. [fre] La disparition des entreprises par faillite est le plus souvent analysée au niveau de la gestion ou de la macroéconomie, une troisième approche est ici retenue : le niveau sectoriel de l'Industrie stricto sensu. A partir des contributions antérieures sont dégagées les variables d'un modèle en coupe avec décalages temporels, que l'on applique aux 32 secteurs industriels sur la période 1980-1983. Les résultats montrent qu'il existe un risque de faillite indépendant de l'activité exercée. La meilleure variable explicative est le taux de création d'entreprises trois ans auparavant.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Programme National Persée in its journal Revue d'économie industrielle.

Volume (Year): 36 (1986)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 1-13

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Handle: RePEc:prs:recind:rei_0154-3229_1986_num_36_1_2173

Note: DOI:10.3406/rei.1986.2173
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Cited by:
  1. Patricia Renou-Maissant & Jean Bonnet, 2000. "La régulation macro-économique et sectorielle de la démographie d'entreprises," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 145(4), pages 19-40.
  2. Régis Blazy, 1996. "Mimétisme, erreurs d'anticipation de la demande et risque de défaillance des entreprises industrielles en France : un modèle économétrique à correction d'erreur," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 125(4), pages 1-18.


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