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La fin des restrictions : 1946-1949

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  • Guy Laroque

Abstract

[fre] L'inflation amorcée à la Libération, séquelle des pénuries laissées par la guerre face à une grande abondance de signes monétaires, devait faire place à l'équilibre, notamment après la forte hausse des prix de 1945. Mais d'autres facteurs prennent le relais : les mauvaises récoltes de 1946 et 1947 relancent la hausse des prix agricoles, la politique de reconstruction favorise les investissements lourds au détriment des biens de consommation, les crédits à l'économie sont distribués au coup par coup... A partir de 1948, de meilleures récoltes, une offre de produits industriels croissante, en grande partie grâce aux effets de l'aide Marshall, enfin une gestion financière plus rigoureuse, se conjuguent pour rétablir, fin 1949, les grands équilibres. [eng] The End of Restrictions 1946-1949 -The inflation which began after the Liberation, which was the consequence of post-war shortages faced with the abundance of liquidities, should have reached equilibrium, especially after the high rise in prices of 1945. However, other factors had their effect: the poor harvest of 1946 and 1947 caused agricultural prices to climb, the policy of reconstruction favored heavy investments to the detriment of consumer goods, and credit for the economy was distributed sporadically. As of 1948, better harvests, the increasing offer of industrial products, due largely to the effects of Marshall Plan aid, and, finally, a more rigorous financial management, coincided so that, at the end of 1949, fundamental equilibrium was reestablished. [spa] El fin de las restricciones 1946-1949 - La inflación iniciada a raiz de la Liberación, rémanente de la escasez debida a la guerra frente a la abundancia de signos monetarios, abrió el paso al equilibrio, especialmente tras la fuerte alza de los precios de 1945. Mas, a continuación se manifestaron otros factores : las pésimas cosechas de los anos 1946 y 1947 prolongaron el alza de los precios agrícolas, la política de reconstrucción favoreció la inversion pesada en perjuicio de los bienes de consumo, los créditos a la economía fueron distribuidos uno por uno. A partir de 1948, mejores cosechas, una creciente oferta de productos industriales, en gran parte gracias a los efectos de la ayuda Marshall, y finalmente una gestion financiera más rigorosa intervi- nieron para restablecer, a fines del ano 1949, los grandes equilibrios.

Suggested Citation

  • Guy Laroque, 1981. "La fin des restrictions : 1946-1949," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 129(1), pages 5-16.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1981_num_129_1_4437
    DOI: 10.3406/estat.1981.4437
    Note: DOI:10.3406/estat.1981.4437
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