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Le comportement d'investissement depuis 1974

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  • Jacky Fayolle

Abstract

[spa] El comportamiento de la inversion desde 1974 por Jacky FAYOLLE 1974 detuvo el crecimiento de la inversion de tal modo que el del capital se viô afectado por una disminuciôn. Los servicios mercantes y los bienes de equipo tan solo — en especial los que son aptos para la exportation — experimentaron un desarrollo de sus inversiones productivas desde 1974 y hasta 1978. A partir del segundo semestre de 1978 y hasta principios de 1980, cierta reactivation general de la inversion se iniciô en relaciôn con la reactivaciôn de la actividad pero no hizo mâs que estabilizar el esfuerzo inversionista de las empresas (inversiôn/valor anadido). Las empresas, las que desde 1974 no dejaban de manifestar cierta cautela, intentan mâs bien sub- stituir sus equipos antiguos antes que incrementar sus capacidades de producciôn. Los mârgenes de capacidades propenden, por otra parte, tras los desequilibrios de 1974 y 1975, a recobrar su nivel de largo perfodo si bien se les considéra muy a menudo excedentes. Sensibles a las fluctua- ciones de la demanda, los planes de inversion se ven con frecuencia revisados hacia la baja. Por lo general, las empresas acuden mâs y mâs a la autofinanciaciôn. [fre] Le comportement d'investissement depuis 1974 parJackyFAYOLLE 1974 a stoppé la croissance des investissements de sorte que celle du capital s'en trouve ralentie. Seuls les services marchands et les biens d'équipement — plus précisément ceux susceptibles d'être exportés — connaissent une progression de leurs investissements productifs de 1974 à 1978. Du second semestre 1978 au début de 1980, une certaine reprise générale de l'investissement s'amorce en liaison avec la reprise de l'activité mais elle ne fait que stabiliser l'effort d'investissement des entreprises (investissement/valeur ajoutée). Devenues prudentes depuis 1974, les entreprises cherchent davantage à remplacer leurs équipements déclassés qu'à accroître leurs capacités de production. Les marges de capacités tendent d'ailleurs, après les déséquilibres de 1974 et 1975, à regagner leur niveau de longue période bien qu'elles soient encore jugées très souvent excédentaires. Sensibles aux mouvements de la demande, les projets d'investissement sont souvent révisés en baisse. De manière générale, les entreprises ont davantage recours à l'autofinancement. [eng] Investment Behaviour since 1974 by Jacky FAYOLLE 1974 halted the growth of investments with the result that the growth of capital has consequently slowed down. Only commercial services and capital goods — and more precisely those which lent themselves to exportation — showed an increase in their productive investments between 1974 and 1978. From the second term of 1978 to the beginning of 1980, a certain general recovery of investment began, linked to the recovery of economic activity, but it has only stabilized the investment efforts of corporations (investment/added value). Having become prudent since 1974, firms are more interested in replacing their obsolete equipment than in increasing their production capacity. Their capacity margins, morover, after the disequilibrium of 1974 and 1975, tend to regain their long-term level, although they are still frequently thought to be in surplus. Being higlhy sensitive to demand, investment projects are often cut back. Generally, firms more often tend to use self-financing.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacky Fayolle, 1980. "Le comportement d'investissement depuis 1974," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 127(1), pages 21-37.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1980_num_127_1_4413
    DOI: 10.3406/estat.1980.4413
    Note: DOI:10.3406/estat.1980.4413
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