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Les soins médicaux de 1970 à 1975 : un constat à la lumière des prévisions du CREDOC

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  • François Tonnelier
  • Simone Sandier
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    Abstract

    [fre] En 1970, le CREDOC avait élaboré des prévisions d'évolution des soins médicaux pour la durée du VIe Plan (1970-1975). Ces prévisions, détaillées par type de soins, comportaient des projections de production et de consommation en volume, de prix nominaux et de prix relatifs. Ce faisceau de prévisions s'est-il trouvé vérifié par la réalité? Telle est la question que s'est posée la division d'Économie médicale du CREDOC. La confrontation de l'évolution attendue des soins médicaux avec l'évolution réelle révèle que les estimations proposées en 1970 étaient assez satisfaisantes. Mais cette confrontation est également l'occasion de présenter un tableau complet des soins médicaux de toute nature en 1975. L'ensemble des soins médicaux, les services hospitaliers, les hôpitaux généraux publics, les services de médecins et d'auxiliaires médicaux, les biens médicaux et en particulier les produits pharmaceutiques font ainsi l'objet d'un examen détaillé en termes de quantités et de prix. [eng] Medical care from 1970 to 1975 an analysis in the light of the estimates of the CREDOC - In 1970 the CREDOC established its estimates regarding the evolution of medical care for the duration of the Vlth Plan. These estimates, listed according to the type of treatment, consisted of volume forecasts of production and consumption, in nominal and relative prices. Has this set of forecasts been borne out in practice? This is the question which has been studied by the health division of the CREDOC. The comparison of the expected evolution of medical care with the real evolution reveals that the estimates proposed in 1970 were generally satisfactory. Moreover, this comparison provided an opportunity to present a complete survey of the full range of medical assistance available in 1975. All aspects of medical assistance — clinics, state general hospitals, the services of doctors and medical auxiliaries, medical goods and particularly pharmaceutical products — are thus subjected to a detailed examination in terms of quantity and price. [spa] La asistencia médica entre 1970 y 1975 una comprobación a raiz de las previsiones elaboradas por el CREDOC - El CREDOC elaboró en 1970 previsiones relativas a la evolución de la asistencia médica a lo largo del VIe Plan (1970-1975). Dichas previsiones, pormenorizadas por categoría de asistencia medica, incluían proyecciones de producción y de consumo en volumen, precios nominales y relativos, ¿ Se averiguaron exactas dichas previsiones ? Tal es la pregunta que plantea la sección de Economía Médica del CREDOC. Al confrontarse la evolución prevista en materia de asistencia medica con la evolución efectivamente intervenida, es factible observar que las estimaciones propuestas en 1970 eran bastante satisfactorias. Mas dicha confrontación brinda tambien la oportunidad de presentar un cuadro completo de los actos de asistencia medica de toda clase, servicios hospitalarios, hospitales generales públicos, servicios prestados por médicos y auxiliares, bienes médicos y especialmente farmaceúticos son por tanto objeto de un examen pormenorizado tanto con relación a cantidad como a precios.

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    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3406/estat.1977.3135
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    File URL: http://www.persee.fr/articleAsPDF/estat_0336-1454_1977_num_90_1_3135/estat_0336-1454_1977_num_90_1_3135.pdf?mode=light
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Programme National Persée in its journal Economie et statistique.

    Volume (Year): 90 (1977)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages: 43-58

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    Handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1977_num_90_1_3135

    Note: DOI:10.3406/estat.1977.3135
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    Web page: http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/revue/estat

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