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Převzetí eura: brzda nebo motor reálné konvergence?
[Adoption of euro: obstacle or engine of real convergence?]

Author

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  • Oldřich Dědek

Abstract

The article arrives to the following conclusions. First, the optimal currency area theory cannot deliver critical (objective) values of tests, whose passing would guarantee that costs of adoption of euro would be lower than the benefits. Second, several empirical observations strongly support the hypothesis that early adoption of euro by the Czech Republic would not incur any substantial losses. Third, several recent studies focused on testing the synchronisation of Czech business cycle vis-à-vis Eurozone do apply analytical techniques inappropriately, which implies biased results. Fourth, the Czech economy has enough experience with excessively volatile exchange rate. The greatest advantage of adoption of euro will consist in a replacement of exchange rate fluctuations and substantially higher stability of inflation. In quantitative terms, the weight of accession countries in Eurozone will be too small to influence the overall inflation and thus co-determine the European Central Bank monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Oldřich Dědek, 2003. "Převzetí eura: brzda nebo motor reálné konvergence? [Adoption of euro: obstacle or engine of real convergence?]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2003(4), pages 505-515.
  • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2003:y:2003:i:4:id:413
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.413
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hochreiter, Eduard & Winckler, Georg, 1995. "The advantages of tying Austria's hands: The success of the hard currency strategy," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 83-111, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yu Hsing, 2005. "Effects of Macroeconomic Policies and Stock Market Performance on the Estonian Economy," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2005(2), pages 109-116.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    optimum currency area; real convergence; adoption of euro; cost-benefit analysis; real appreciation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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