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Sinais De Alerta De Crise Empresarial: Modelo De Regressão Logit Baseado Em Dados Portugueses

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Author Info

  • Lúcia Lima Rodrigues

    (Escola de Economia e Gestão, Universidade do Minho)

  • Ana Maria Bandeira

    (Instituto Superior de Contabilidade e Administração do Porto)

Abstract

Nas últimas três décadas têm vindo a ser desenvolvidos modelos de previsão de falência multidimensionais, ou seja, modelos que analisam simultaneamente um número de características chave, tais como rendibilidade, solvabilidade e liquidez. O primeiro procedimento a ser usado foi a análise discriminante e, mais recentemente e, mais recentemente, os modelos de regressão logit e probit têm vindo a vulgarizar-se dado terem a vantagem de serem não lineares. Após uma revisão selectiva da literatura, neste trabalho apresentamos um modelo de regressão logit com o objectivo de obter sinais de alerta de crise empresarial no nosso país.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by ISEG, Technical University of Lisbon in its journal Estudos de Gestão - Portuguese Journal of Management Studies.

Volume (Year): VI (2001)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 23-44

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Handle: RePEc:pjm:journl:v:vi:y:2001:i:1:p:23-44

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Keywords: Modelos de previsão de falências; Modelos ultidimensionais; análise discriminante; modelo de regressão logit caso Português.;

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