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Estimating interregional economic impacts: an evaluation of nonsurvey, semisurvey, and full-survey methods

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  • Jan Oosterhaven
  • Ed C van der Knijff
  • Gerard J Eding

Abstract

Literature shows that nonsurvey input - output tables tend to produce regional multipliers with systematic upward biases. This paper explores the related, relatively uncharted territory of nonsurvey versus survey impact studies by means of a series of simulations. The base case is provided by a very detailed five region survey of both the forward and the backward impacts of the energy-distribution sector in the four northern provinces of the Netherlands. To deal adequately with the two-sided dependence between a firm or sector and a region, as opposed to using the traditional (gross) multipliers, we argue in favor of using a new multiplier concept: the net multiplier. Next, from examining alternative impact study methods ranging from quick and dirty, via semiextensive, to full-survey methods, we conclude that using even aggregate, first-order impact information is more important than using a very detailed survey-based input - output model.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Pion Ltd, London in its journal Environment and Planning A.

Volume (Year): 35 (2003)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 5-18

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Handle: RePEc:pio:envira:v:35:y:2003:i:1:p:5-18

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Web page: http://www.pion.co.uk

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Cited by:
  1. Louis Mesnard, 2007. "A critical comment on Oosterhaven–Stelder net multipliers," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 249-271, June.
  2. Jan Oosterhaven, 2007. "The net multiplier is a new key sector indicator: reply to De Mesnard’s comment," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 273-283, June.
  3. Wim Wijnen & Walter Manshanden & Jos Muskens, 2003. "Regional economic effects of revitalization of industrial sites: an input-output approach," ERSA conference papers ersa03p325, European Regional Science Association.

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