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Disaggregate economic base multipliers in small communities

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  • A C Vias
  • G F Mulligan

Abstract

Economic base analysis is frequently used to describe employment profiles and to predict project-related impacts in small communities. Considerable evidence suggests, however, that economic base multipliers should be estimated from survey data and not from shortcut methods. In this paper two competing versions of the economic base model are developed and then these two models are estimated by use of the Arizona community data set. In both cases, marginal multiplier estimates, controlled for transfer payments, are generated for ten individual sectors in five different types of communities. Results from these two disaggregate economic base models are assessed and then compared with results provided earlier by more aggregate models. The better of these two new models closely resembles the popular input - output model.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Pion Ltd, London in its journal Environment and Planning A.

Volume (Year): 29 (1997)
Issue (Month): 6 (June)
Pages: 955-974

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Handle: RePEc:pio:envira:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:955-974

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Web page: http://www.pion.co.uk

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Cited by:
  1. Banerjee, Swagata (Ban) & Harris, Thomas R., 2001. "A Disaggregated Time-Series Analysis Of Export-Base Models: A Case Study On Elko County Of Nevada," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) 20640, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  2. Gordon Mulligan, 2010. "Revisiting interindustry employment requirements in nonmetropolitan economies," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 61-70, July.
  3. Stanley, Denise L., 2003. "The Economic Impact of Mariculture on a Small Regional Economy," World Development, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 191-210, January.
  4. Joseph Cullen & Price V. Fishback, 2006. "Did Big Government's Largesse Help the Locals? The Implications of WWII Spending for Local Economic Activity, 1939-1958," NBER Working Papers 12801, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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