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The Relationship between Federal Government Revenues and Expenditures in Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Fazal Husain

    (Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad)

  • Muhammad Ali Qasim

    (Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad)

  • Mahmood Khalid

    (Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad)

Abstract

The paper investigates the relation between expenditures and revenues of the federal government of Pakistan for the period 1978-79 to 2008-09 using the Toda and Yamamoto (1995) methodology. The results show that there is a unidirectional causality from expenditures to revenues. The results indicate evidence of the spend-revenue hypothesis for Pakistan. The Potential investors may construe this government behaviour negatively, therefore, the investment decisions may take into account the possibilities of paying higher taxes in future.

Suggested Citation

  • Fazal Husain & Muhammad Ali Qasim & Mahmood Khalid, 2010. "The Relationship between Federal Government Revenues and Expenditures in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 641-649.
    • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:49:y:2010:i:4:p:641-649
    as

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    File URL: http://www.pide.org.pk/pdf/PDR/2010/Volume4/641-649.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Seema Narayan, 2006. "Government revenue and government expenditure nexus: evidence from developing countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 285-291.
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    3. Xiaoming Li, 2001. "Government revenue, government expenditure, and temporal causality: evidence from China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 485-497.
    4. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    5. von Furstenberg, George M & Green, R Jeffrey & Jeong, Jin-Ho, 1986. "Tax and Spend, or Spend and Tax?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 68(2), pages 179-188, May.
    6. Neelesh Gounder & Paresh Kumar Narayan & Arti Prasad, 2007. "An empirical investigation of the relationship between government revenue and expenditure," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 34(3), pages 147-158, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Keywords

    Revenue; Expenditure and Causality;

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