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International Evidence on the Determinants of Trade Dynamics

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Author Info
Eswar S. Prasad (International Monetary Fund)
Jeffery A. Gable (International Monetary Fund)

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Abstract

This paper provides some new empirical perspectives on the relationship between international trade and macroeconomic fluctuations in industrial economies. First, a comprehensive set of stylized facts concerning fluctuations in trade variables and their determinants is presented. A measure of the quantitative importance of international trade for the propagation of domestic business cycles is then constructed, focusing on the role of external trade as a catalyst for cyclical recoveries. Finally, structural vector autoregression models are used to characterize the joint dynamics of output, exchange rates, and trade variables in response to different types of macroeconomic shocks. Copyright 1998, International Monetary Fund

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File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/staffp/1998/09-98/pdf/prasad.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Palgrave Macmillan Journals in its journal IMF Staff Papers.

Volume (Year): 45 (1998)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 1
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Handle: RePEc:pal:imfstp:v:45:y:1998:i:3:p:1

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General

Cited by:
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  1. José García-Solanes & Jesús Rodríguez López & José Luis Torres Chacón, 2007. "Demand Shocks and Trade Balance Dynamics," Working Papers 07.10, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Luigi Bocola, 2006. "Trade and Business-Cycle Comovement: Evidence from the EU," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 96(6), pages 25-62, November-. [Downloadable!]
  3. Edith Skriner, . "Forecasting Global Flows," FIW Working Paper series 009, FIW. [Downloadable!]
  4. Skriner, Edith, 2007. "Forecasting Global Flows," Economics Series 214, Institute for Advanced Studies. [Downloadable!]
  5. Massimo Giuliodori, . "The Empirical Relevance of a basic sticky-price intertemporal model," Working Papers 2001_17, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
  6. Agenor, Pierre-Richard & McDermott, C John & Prasad, Eswar S, 2000. "Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Developing Countries: Some Stylized Facts," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(2), pages 251-85, May. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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