The sources of macroeconomic fluctuations in sub-Saharan Africa are examined by comparing the CFA franc countries with the non-CFA franc countries. External shocks, especially in terms of trade shocks, appear to have a greater influence on fluctuations of output and the real exchange rate in CFA franc countries. This result does not appear to be associated with differences in the economic structure, but may reflect the fixed exchange rate regime, which does not (particularly) buffer these countries from external shocks. Macroeconomic fluctuations in non-CFA franc countries are similar to those in other developing countries, particularly Latin America. Copyright 1998, International Monetary Fund
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Article provided by Palgrave Macmillan Journals in its journal IMF Staff Papers.
Find related papers by JEL classification: C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
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