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Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Reform in the United States

Author

Listed:
  • Owen Evans

    (International Monetary Fund)

  • Lloyd Kenward

    (International Monetary Fund)

Abstract

The provisions of the U. S. Tax Reform Act of 1986 (TRA) have potential effects on labor supply, household consumption and saving, and business fixed investment. The literature on the possible effects of tax reform is surveyed, and a model of U. S. business fixed investment is developed and estimated. The major explanatory influences are real gross national product and the cost of capital, with the latter related to interest rates, inflation, and tax variables. The model is used to provide estimates of the possible effects on business fixed investment of the taxation changes introduced with the TRA.

Suggested Citation

  • Owen Evans & Lloyd Kenward, 1988. "Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Reform in the United States," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 35(1), pages 141-165, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:imfstp:v:35:y:1988:i:1:p:141-165
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