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China's Metals Demand and Commodity Prices: A Case of Disruptive Development?

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  • Masuma Zareen Farooki

    (The Open University, Milton Keynes, UK)

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    Abstract

    Le boum des produits de base observé entre 2003 et 2011 a constitué la plus longue période de hausse des prix de ces produits enregistrée depuis la deuxième guerre mondiale. Cet article examine le rôle de la demande chinoise dans la hausse des prix et son impact sur le futur comportement des prix des produits miniers. La constance du rôle moteur de la demande, malgré l’interruption due à la crise financière survenue fin 2008, nous amène à conclure que le boom représente le démarrage d’une phase expansionniste d’un Super Cycle des matières premières. L’augmentation de la consommation chinoise de métaux de base a été la cause directe de bouleversements de la demande sur les marchés mondiaux de produits de base et représente une cause d’optimisme pour les pays en développement exportateurs de ressources naturelles.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Palgrave Macmillan in its journal European Journal of Development Research.

    Volume (Year): 24 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 1 (February)
    Pages: 56-70

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    Handle: RePEc:pal:eurjdr:v:24:y:2012:i:1:p:56-70

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