A Speculative Futures Market with Zero-Intelligence
AbstractThis paper investigates the price formation of an artificial futures market with zero-intelligence traders. It extends the zero-intelligence model to speculative agents trading for immediacy on a futures exchange with open outcry, margin constraints, and real-time settlement. Like prior studies it finds that the imposition of scarcity, not intelligent optimization, is surprisingly good at producing allocative efficiency. The double auction trading mechanism even with open outcry and real-time settlement anchors prices to a dynamic Walrasian equilibrium, even when it is not unique. This study supports zero-intelligence agent-based methodology as a tool to isolate the impact of market microstructure, as opposed to information, on price formation. Eastern Economic Journal (2008) 34, 518–549. doi:10.1057/eej.2008.34
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Palgrave Macmillan in its journal Eastern Economic Journal.
Volume (Year): 34 (2008)
Issue (Month): 4 ()
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.palgrave-journals.com/
Postal: Palgrave Macmillan Journals, Subscription Department, Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS, UK
You can help add them by filling out this form.
CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
- Lengnick, Matthias & Krug, Sebastian & Wohltmann, Hans-Werner, 2012.
"Money creation and financial instability: An agent-based credit network approach,"
Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy
2012-61, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
- Lengnick, Matthias & Krug, Sebastian & Wohltmann, Hans-Werner, 2013. "Money creation and financial instability: An agent-based credit network approach," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 7(32), pages 1-44.
- Lengnick, Matthias & Krug, Sebastian & Wohltmann, Hans-Werner, 2012. "Money creation and financial instability: An agent-based credit network approach," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics 2012-15, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Stephen Kinsella, 2011. "Words to the Wise: Stock Flow Consistent Modeling of Financial Instability," INET Research Notes, Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET) 19, Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET).
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Elizabeth Gale).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.