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Initial Steps in High-Frequency Modeling of China

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  • Lawrence R Klein
  • Wendy Mak

Abstract

This paper presents the first step in building a forecasting model of China's GDP. Being constrained by a statistical history that effectively begins in 1993, it uses high frequency data and principal components analysis to construct a single-equation model that generates elasticities and is applied to two-quarter-ahead forecasts. Initial results suggest a gradual deceleration of growth, consistent with Chinese government policy.Business Economics (2005) 40, 11–14; doi:10.2145/20050102

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Palgrave Macmillan in its journal Business Economics.

Volume (Year): 40 (2005)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 11-14

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Handle: RePEc:pal:buseco:v:40:y:2005:i:1:p:11-14

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Cited by:
  1. Pulido San Román, Antonio & Pérez García, Julián, 2006. "Lawrence R. Klein and Applied Economics/Lawrence R. Klein y la economía aplicada," Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 24, pages 43-94, Abril.

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