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Unemployment traps and age-earnings profiles: estimates for Australia in 2000


Author Info

  • Bruce Chapman

    (The Australian National University)

  • John Quiggin

    (Department of Family and Community Services)


The relative costs of taking employment or receiving welfare are usually understood through comparisons of a person’s social security entitlements and their wage alternative, known as replacement rates. In some situations it appears that the additional income from working is negligible, and this is said to constitute an ‘unemployment trap’. However, conventional replacement rates ignore the fact that age-earnings profiles slope upward through the acquisition of labour market experience. We offer a dynamic reinterpretation and compare alternative calculations for Australia in 2000. The usual and incorrect approach exaggerates significantly the likelihood of unemployment traps, but the presence of children and the age of the decision-maker mitigate this considerably, and can even reverse, this assessment.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School in its journal Australian Journal of Labour Economics.

Volume (Year): 4 (2000-2001)
Issue (Month): 3 (September)
Pages: 174-191

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Handle: RePEc:ozl:journl:v:4:y:2001:i:3:p:174-191

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Related research

Keywords: Unemployment Insurance; Severance Pay; Plant Closings Unemployment; Models; Duration; Incidence; and Job Search;

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