Of Shepherds, Sheep, and the Cross-autocorrelations in Equity Returns

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Of Shepherds, Sheep, and the Cross-autocorrelations in Equity Returns

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Badrinath, S G
Kale, Jayant R
Noe, Thomas H

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Thomas H. Noe

Abstract

We present an economic mechanism and supportive empirical evidence for the transmission of information between equity securities first documented by Lo and MacKinlay (1990). It is argued that the past returns on stocks held by informed institutional traders will be positively correlated with the contemporaneous returns on stocks held by noninstitutional uninformed traders. Evidence consistent with this hypothesis is then presented. We document that the returns on the portfolio of stocks with the highest level of institutional ownership lead the returns on portfolios of stocks with lower levels of institutional ownership. This effect persists even after firm size is controlled for and is apparent at longer lags than the size-related lag effects documented in Lo and MacKinlay (1990). Article published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society for Financial Studies in its journal, The Review of Financial Studies.

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Article provided by Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies in its journal Review of Financial Studies.

Volume (Year): 8 (1995)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 401-30
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Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:8:y:1995:i:2:p:401-30

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Säfvenblad, Patrik, 1997. "Lead-Lag Effects When Prices Reveal Cross-Security Information," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 189, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
Angelos Kanas & George Kouretas, 2001. "A cointegration approach to the lead-lag effect among size-sorted equity portfolios," Working Papers 0101, University of Crete, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Kanas, Angelos & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2005. "A cointegration approach to the lead-lag effect among size-sorted equity portfolios," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 181-201. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Hou, Kewei & Peng, Lin & Xiong, Wei, 2006. "R2 and Price Inefficiency," Working Paper Series 2006-23, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
Pablo Marshall & Eduardo Walker, 2002. "Asymmetric Reaction to Information and Serial Dependence of Short-run Returns," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 0, pages 273-292, November. [Downloadable!]
Javier DePeña & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2003. "Serial and cross-correlation in the Spanish Stock Market returns," Faculty Working Papers 02/03, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra. [Downloadable!]
Ping Hu & Jayant Kale & Ajay Subramanian, 2003. "Compensation, Career Concerns, and Relative Risk Choices by Mutual Fund Managers: Theory and Evidence," Levine's Bibliography 666156000000000349, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
Daxue Wang, 2006. "Cross-Autocorrelation of Dual-Listed Stock Portfolio Returns: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Market," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 182, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]

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