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Asset Pricing with Endogenous Disasters

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  • Cristian Tiu
  • Uzi Yoeli

Abstract

We develop a parsimonious model in which frictions in the labor market may turn small, continuous labor productivity declines into large drops in employment, endogenously causing disasters. Assuming one state variable and CRRA agents, we solve for prices in closed form, calibrate the model using labor market data, and show that this simple setting captures the high, countercyclical volatility and equity premium observed in the United States. Moreover, returns in our model are conditionally predicted by dividend yields. Finally, as in the data, in our setting the disasters are larger when the capital's share of income is higher. The Author 2013. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com., Oxford University Press.

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  • Cristian Tiu & Uzi Yoeli, 2013. "Asset Pricing with Endogenous Disasters," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(11), pages 2916-2960.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:26:y:2013:i:11:p:2916-2960
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hht054
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    Cited by:

    1. Bai, Hang, 2021. "Unemployment and credit risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 127-145.

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