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Do Anomalies Exist Ex Ante?

Author

Listed:
  • Yue Tang
  • Jin (Ginger) Wu
  • Lu Zhang

Abstract

The anomalies literature in capital markets research in finance and accounting is based (almost) exclusively on average realized returns. In contrast, we construct accounting-based expected returns for dollar-neutral long-short trading strategies formed on a wide array of anomaly variables, including book to market, size, composite issuance, net stock issues, abnormal investment, asset growth, investment to assets, accruals, earnings surprises, failure probability, return on assets, and short-term prior returns. Our findings are striking. Except for the value and the size premiums, the cost of equity estimates differ drastically from the average realized returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Yue Tang & Jin (Ginger) Wu & Lu Zhang, 2014. "Do Anomalies Exist Ex Ante?," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(3), pages 843-875.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:revfin:v:18:y:2014:i:3:p:843-875.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rof/rft026
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Adrian, Tobias & Muir, Tyler, 2015. "The Cost of Capital of the Financial Sector," CEPR Discussion Papers 11031, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Kaserer Christoph & Hanauer Matthias X., 2017. "25 Jahre Fama-French-Modell: Erklärungsgehalt, Anomalien und praktische Implikationen," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 18(2), pages 98-116, June.
    3. Patrick Bielstein, 2018. "International asset allocation using the market implied cost of capital," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 32(1), pages 17-51, February.
    4. Ayşe İmrohoroğlu & Şelale Tüzel, 2014. "Firm-Level Productivity, Risk, and Return," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(8), pages 2073-2090, August.
    5. Kewei Hou & Haitao Mo & Chen Xue & Lu Zhang, 2019. "Which Factors?," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 23(1), pages 1-35.
    6. Patrick Bielstein & Matthias X. Hanauer, 2019. "Mean-variance optimization using forward-looking return estimates," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 815-840, April.
    7. Frank, Murray Z. & Shen, Tao, 2016. "Investment and the weighted average cost of capital," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 300-315.
    8. Olaf Stotz, 2021. "Expected and realized returns on stocks with high- and low-ESG exposure," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(2), pages 133-150, March.
    9. Yezhou Sha & Ziwen Bu & Zilong Wang, 2023. "What drives the distress risk–return puzzle? A perspective on limits of arbitrage," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3574-3592, October.
    10. Laura Xiaolei Liu & Ann E. Sherman & Yong Zhang, 2014. "The Long-Run Role of the Media: Evidence from Initial Public Offerings," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(8), pages 1945-1964, August.
    11. Kartick Gupta, 2018. "Environmental Sustainability and Implied Cost of Equity: International Evidence," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 147(2), pages 343-365, January.
    12. Sudheer Chava, 2014. "Environmental Externalities and Cost of Capital," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(9), pages 2223-2247, September.
    13. Mishra, Dev R. & O’Brien, Thomas J., 2019. "Fama-French, CAPM, and implied cost of equity," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 73-85.
    14. Shen, Carl Hsin-han & Zhang, Hao, 2020. "What's good for you is good for me: The effect of CEO inside debt on the cost of equity," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

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